Posts by "qin"

Hey, Arshaf; Gary
I have a question about bond and USD.

FED is buying more bonds by its printing money. It will keep the bond yielding low.
When interest rate is lower, it will boost stock market. In the end USD will keep declining.

Is the theory correct??

Best regards
Qin

Hey, alive
USD was declining when the oil price was hiking from 60 to 70, and it should be the main reason.

Now if the USD index is going to reach above 85, I think oil will go down to 60 even blow 60.

So it should have some big news to drive USD to reach the level, maybe stock market collapses will be one of the reason. ( I can't find any other reason now. )

I don't know that if FED would like to see stock market go to collapse again or not.

FED is printing so much money in order to stabilize the stock market.
On another hand, FED still want to keep people favor on USD and keep inflation very low. On my view, it is just a dream for America.

Best regards
Qin

Hey, alive
I am worry about my positions. But I will hold it very tight.

I think the oil will go to blow 70 again, but go back to 60, we should have a very big bad news, like citibank goes to chapter 11.

When my positions makes my puke, I will double it.

Best regards
Qin

Hey, Mo
USD/CAD 1.18 .......if it goes to reach that level, I think my nerve will be destroyed, but my account.

I think I have to think about it very carefully......and find out some strategy to hedge it.

Did they mention about AUD/USD??

Hey, Mo
To be honest, I don't really have trading strategy. But I always read some news and comment from Chinese traders and Japanese traders....but different people are talking different stories. So I just have to analyst their story and wait for the chance.

The reason that I long AUD and CAD, short USD too early, but I still don't think I made wrong decision.
The reason is that central banks are willing to sell their USD. And Japanese traders and government don't want to see USD/JPY break 95. I think they will protect it, they said that 95 is the yellow alert for them, 94 is the red alert. Most of the export companies set their exchange rate to 95 by end of this year.
So if they sell yen, it will protect my positions too. Anyway.....I made trade to early.

May I ask why you see USD will rally more then 3 months? If it does, I guess AUD/USD will go to 0.7 and USD/CAD will back to 1.25.......