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27 Posts Total by "speculator ":
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SPECULATOR
(LONDON, United Kingdom)
5 Posts by Anonymous "speculator ":
 
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speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 19, 2009 21:53
In Thread: Unsustainable Appetite in FX, Equities & Oil
asad what do u use for oil trading?
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 19, 2009 21:48
In Thread: Unsustainable Appetite in FX, Equities & Oil
shorting crude at current levels is very smart.

there are so many early warning signs that a stock market correction is coming which would unwind risk positions and inflation-linked assets DOWN.

do some research on the baltic index and figure out the directional trend of this key indicator.

of course, downwards movement in china is also a massive early warning signs for developed markets.

also, think hard about the recent rally it strongly mirrors the crash and post rally of the great depression. whilst monetary conditions are not the same as they are now (QE) economic indications are very weak and so is inflation.

so i would certainly see shorts in crude at current levels as wise for very near term and through 2009.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 19, 2009 21:30
In Thread: Speculators' Futures FX Positions
rkg its just a target based on what is currently happening. targers can always be revised on new developments
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 19, 2009 21:29
In Thread: Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
cnbc has a wider range of views and always gives the bull and bear verdict from the pros. i dont think its necessarily good for the junior trader. bulls and bears all have plausable arguments if you are not such an expert yourself.
speculator
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Aug 19, 2009 21:24
In Thread: Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
i am very surprised cable didnt react much on the downside despite minutes released from BoE. This is an early warning sign for cable and dont fall in to the trap thinking cable will make any new highs in the near term ie.1.70+ without something super pound supportive or dollar negative.

buffet's remarks regarding dollar probably helped move cable higher along with risk taking.

Qin, i did mention dollar weakness for today and hope everyone got some benefit.
SPECULATOR
LONDON, UK
Posts: 17
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 20:13
In Thread: When Will GOLD Hit $1,050?
gold has very limited upside potential beyond despite what gold obsession hoarding bugs say. it will also make a poor long term investment at these levels.
SPECULATOR
LONDON, UK
Posts: 17
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 20:10
In Thread: When Will GOLD Hit $1,050?
please refer to long term gold price charts. it is a terrible hedge against inflation. its a better hedge against monetary collapse, and a falling dollar. a falling dollar though would not necessary cause general inflation apart from obvious oil inflation.
SPECULATOR
LONDON, UK
Posts: 17
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 18:08
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
whilst low oil prices are good for economic recovery, it will trigger immediate risk aversion trades and a higher dollar which will likely feed through to global recovery in markets later as we got in march.
SPECULATOR
LONDON, UK
Posts: 17
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 0:41
In Thread: USDJPY 4-week Cycles
but the question is, will BoJ come in and sell the yen to devalue? thats why i expect the yen to initially be the biggest gainer and then the dollar.

we need to see china drift lower to see money come back to us dollar cash for its strength to highten, brics general sell off is not sufficient.
SPECULATOR
LONDON, UK
Posts: 17
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 0:03
In Thread: When Will GOLD Hit $1,050?
i wanted ashraf's opinion
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