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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
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Trading
LONDON, UK
Posts: 57
13 years ago
Aug 22, 2011 9:32
The RR on some of Ashraf's trades is terrible. Sometimes 2 risk to 1 reward.
jacek
Australia
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Aug 22, 2011 0:28
cat.. if ur modelling eur/usd.. u might be better of using the theory of irrational numbers for your trading model:-)

btw v(d) = f(v(d)) is called recursive self-similarity.. not fractal.. and you might be making Leibniz mistake here thinking that only the straight line was self-similar in this sense :-)

perhaps (re-)read "How Long Is the Coast of Britain? Statistical Self-Similarity and Fractional Dimension" by Mandelbrot.. so you can begin to comprehend fractal nature of a leaf or chart patterns like the ones discuss here..
http://www.fractal.org/Bewustzijns-Besturings-Model/Image141.gif
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Aug 22, 2011 0:12
oops ignore that. On review I see your 1 to 5 #'s are detailing the wave 3 down. Agree !
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Aug 22, 2011 0:07
jacek, your resume' of SPX --- check some of your #'s, we agree waves but refresh your chart data !
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 21, 2011 23:52
gold and silver in that little push higher now.. so don't bury it.. sell it:-).. and soooon..
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Aug 21, 2011 20:45
jacek
whenever several entities compete for the same ressource with the same strategy, "fractal" patterns must appear because of the feedback v=f(v) , given particular startup parameters,
yields "fractals". Thus in nature the growth of the population of two species, one being the prey of the other, looks pretty much like a EUR/USD chart. It cannot be otherwise.
chloethebull
halifax, Canada
Posts: 1183
13 years ago
Aug 21, 2011 18:11
hey cat, i liked what you were saying about fish farms as being a great longer hold play,and i agree food issues seams to be a safe play vs others like gold,oil.so i started to look at potash again as its very important in booasting crop yeild size.after looking over my daily chart its coming into some respectable retr levels now closing in on 50% 49.00ish of my projected price although im sure it will continue to move lower if markets continue to move lower, but im thinkn it will also be one of the first sectors to move quickly back up once markets bounce back(if only breifly or sustainable)but i will continue to watch/add if these levels start to hold up over this week of trading. thanks for pointing out the importance of the food issue:) gl/gt this week all:)
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Aug 21, 2011 16:56
jacek, fisher's law better than marx's in this topic. V decrease in recent years, so have to have QE2 increase M.
jacek
Melbourne, Australia
Posts: 2579
13 years ago
Aug 21, 2011 16:28
thank u comrade Cat for sharing with us tealeaf readers ur ignorance of patterns and modern monetary relationships..

"Prices are thus high or low not because more or less money is in circulation, but there is more or less money in circulation because prices are high or low. This is one of the principal economic laws." (Marx)

perhaps u might need to update your mathematical trading model by couple of centuries:-)

so u say patterns are a system response to a signal, eh? have you heard of fractals?

modern view of finance system as being chaotic/nonlinear (Kydland and Prescott) can produce reasonable statements about real economy's ability and willingness to substitute standard (S) with credit (C)..

in other words.. v(d)=f(C)
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Aug 21, 2011 13:33
anyway, i like patterned cat rubbish us tealeaf readers~
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