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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
Ginger
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 1, 2010 16:51
macrosam what makes you think it'll go as high as 1.38? I think 1.3640 max (Ashraf has already advised that 1.3540 is now new resistance). Must say I'm surprised by the strength of the Euro advance today, but short term relief rallies like this allow you to increase the short position, I'm still short, expecting 1.30 by end of April/May time.
macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Apr 1, 2010 16:30
Down trendline being challenged. If it breaks, I am out and will wait for 1.38 before attempting another short but if this holds....
Ginger
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 1, 2010 15:36
This short-term bounce in the Euro vs $ doesn't look sustainable to me
Ginger
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Apr 1, 2010 15:13
Great battle between bull and bears at 1.3514 level
macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Apr 1, 2010 1:02
Ashraf, do you monitor short-interest and how often do you take it into consideration? For example, during this recent countertrend rally from the high 1.32s to the mid-1.35s, would you expect/look for a reduction in short-interest? How would you interpret a reduction, or an essentially unchanged level in relation to forecasting the recent covering rally?

Thank you!
macrosam
United States
Posts: 190
14 years ago
Apr 1, 2010 0:50
Greece planning on issuing a USD bond before end of May, not sure if this will be 3yr or 10yr but would expect shorter tenor., reading that may try to raise 11.6bn euros. Falling EUR would benefit Greece cross-currency swap by being able to get more EUR post-convers, ion.
samrye
Illinois, United States
Posts: 1
14 years ago
Mar 31, 2010 17:03
Month-end extension duration buying in the U.S. putting in a bid for treasuries, should subside by 3PM EST.
Pabloc75
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Posts: 16
14 years ago
Mar 31, 2010 16:27
Hi All. I'm short @ 3462 with SL @ 3660. Good luck to everybody!
magess
Selangor, Malaysia
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 31, 2010 1:24
Dear Mr Ashraf, since about your forecast very execellent, I would like to give opinion that you could start to open up to a speciality for member and its chargeble. Your forecast is very the best.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Mar 31, 2010 1:13
Koka, if we got to 13620 i would short it but Im NOT betting it will break above 13580

Ashraf