Forum > View Topic
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 5, 2010 8:30
What's next i guess the only thing that might save Euro decline this week may be an actuall announcement on when exactly they are getting the money. IMF needs to announce it today or tomorrow and obviously looking forward to hear from Eurozone confederates on late Friday which obviously wont help much as its NFP day <EXPECT VERY VERY HIGH VOLATILITY>.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 5, 2010 8:25
They just cant help themselves. Go on call into question the Greek aid package why dont ya. EUR/USD slips back to 1.2975 at writing.
JUst hearing Russia seller of EUR/USD in recent trade.
Right what other nuggets we got from Angela
Greek aid plan is about the future of Europe and Germany in Europe
Without us there can be no decision which is economically sustainable
Europe is at a fork in the road on question of Greek aid
Greece has pledged to take the toughest measures on its deficit
There is no alternative to backing Greek aid for the stability of the euro zone (doesnt that somewhat contradict headline?)
Aid must come to avoid risk of contagion
We must curb speculation on markets
Conditions on aid package for Greece have been met
Banks must not shirk responsibility in helping Greece
Banks must keep credit lines open to Greece
We should heed IMF advice against international financial market transaction tax
We should heed IMF advice in favour of taxation of bank pay and profits
We need more regulation on derivatives, hedge funds
Need more economic and financial policy coordination in Europe
EU budget deficit sinners should suffer temporary loss of voting rights
lucky
ibadan, Nigeria
Posts: 377
14 years ago
May 5, 2010 7:50
please ashraf can euro made a little up trend before resuming south direction thanks
DAHAB
United Arab Emirates
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
May 5, 2010 6:24
hi ,all eur support level on 1.2888 only no other place for euro support.if it breaks it will go 1.20 lets c.or ask ashraf laidi
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 5, 2010 5:42
The contagion in Europe is gathering speed overnight with Spain now the focus of attention. EUR/USD and EUR/JPY are the two main casualties and rallies in both are now to be seen as selling opportunities. EUR/GBP finally triggered stops below .8590 and the SNB is right now playing a dangerous game by drawing a line in the sand at 1.4325.
RBA decision might well be a buy-the-rumour-sell-the-fact event and that is exactly what it turned out to be. AUD/JPY and AUD/USD falling hard and with rate rises now likely on hold for a few months, the focus might turn to the riskier aspects of the AUD trade.
The Bank of England learned to their cost that you cannot stand in the way of the FX market and now the SNB are trying to hold the EUR/CHF above 1.4320. Have a look at any hourly chart. An 8 pip range for 3 sessions in a row. This is what happened in GBP/DMK back in late 1991 before it collapsed, ever tightening intraday ranges and then when the BoE pulled their bid the pair went into vertical freefall.
This is obviously a different situation but nevertheless if the SNB suddenly disappears, watch out for a big black hole.
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
14 years ago
May 4, 2010 23:09
Good Luck ING

Just be nimble - u r right - - Euro news better be good or no news - bad news could force a drop to 1.27s.

on the other side - if we get very good news - then we could rally all the way to 1.33s where some bigger buy stops could get triggered.
INGbalek
Trencin, Slovakia
Posts: 120
14 years ago
May 4, 2010 23:01
@nzvik
H1 tf..i said it is well below that support level...1,3080 is just safe target for half of my trade..and that second will depend on how the market will look like...

ur point of view is rational...Believe it ll work...Hope 2mmorow there wont be any negative sudden eur data...

gl
INGbalek
Trencin, Slovakia
Posts: 120
14 years ago
May 4, 2010 22:58
@nzvik
nzvik
Auckland, New Zealand
Posts: 225
14 years ago
May 4, 2010 22:55
ING -not sure where you are getting the 1.3080 support level ?

I will buy again at 1.289 - if it gets there.

The shorts piled in once 1.3114 - 1.3120 zone got broken - all the sell stops for the Eur longs were below this level.

Now, all the buy stops for Eur shorts will be above the 1.3120 level - therefore targeting that.

Markets will move to the levels which provide maximum liquidity.
INGbalek
Trencin, Slovakia
Posts: 120
14 years ago
May 4, 2010 22:43
@nzvik
my first target is set just below that former support zone at 1,3080..im not decided about that second one..

but, if it went further down,,i would think about buying it again aroun 1,2885 area...
hope this scenario wont happen...

GL