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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 12:30
Merkel's strategy is to have no strategy... wherever she is she is behind the curve
weak EUR is ok in a stable global economy but bad in a receding economy then imports matter factured in USD. Further drawing money out of the economy of PIGS means a further drop in exports.
White
Slovakia
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 12:05
@letitroll, Did you change it? There was 50 pips retracement 50 pips at 3AM and it will take very long time to get back at 1.25756 again.
@catnip, I know that you profit from weak EURO and even Merkel was perhaps surprised how quickly her strategy worked out. But any abnormalities will have a side effect later when EU will forgot times when EURO was strong. BMW and MB will need to reopen US factories again in two years.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 11:56
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is released weekly by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in the US every Friday at 15:30 Eastern Time. The COT report shows how large speculators, commercials and small traders have placed their bets in the futures markets in terms of open interest information based on the previous Tuesday, and is an invaluable tool you can use to track the market sentiment in currencies, commodities and stock indices. The only limitation of the COT report is that it is three days late, but that doesnt mean you cant still use it as a sentiment tool.

There are three categories of traders in the report as defined by the CFTC.

Non-Commercial (Large Speculators)
These large speculators are mainly hedge funds, banks etc who trade currency futures just for speculation.

Commercial (Hedgers, Exporters, Importers)
These are people who use the futures contracts for hedging purposes, and these commercial participants are generally exporters and importers who may use the commodity or currency futures markets to take a position that will reduce the risk of financial loss in their assets due to a change in price.

Non-Reportable (Small Traders)
They are small speculators like retail traders

Things to Note:

- In currency futures, the convention is to quote the foreign currency directly against the US dollar. For example, the Swiss franc is quoted versus the US dollar in futures, unlike the USD/CHF notation in the spot forex market.

- It is more important to note whether the large speculators are net long or short in specific commodities or currencies. Sometimes, moves can also be influenced by small traders closing their losing positions. Knowing whether large speculators have been net long or short a few days ago only indicates the positioning in retrospect. It is more useful to compare the latest net positioning with that from the past few weeks or months.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 11:36
Euro dip below 125 like thats News, Com'on WTF

Give me News, No one is talking about ECB's and IMF's comments coming out later today.

ECB plans to hold conference next week to talk on measures on stabilising Europe's debt crisis and the monetary policy and bond sale purchase plan for banks.

Imf to comment on Greece's repayment program.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 10:17
This whole idea of reaching a parity is out of the question, people should get over it by now. While bids see around 12450/40 area, psychological support around 12423.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 10:07
ok, ashraf, i put my hands up and admit you were completely right eurusd 1.25 and looking to test 1.24 , very good analysis, they say if you quote either quote a price or quote a time frame but NEVER both!
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 9:48
djellal where did you hear about that 125 DNT barrier. Was this from the European terminals cuz if was from US terminal then i dont buy it. They'er probably opening further risk for 12333 from where we might see a turnaround.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 9:45
thanks rose for your rosy outlook :)
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 9:44
*Italy April HICP Up 0.9% On Month, Rises 1.6% On Year - Final - 19 mins ago
*Italy April CPI Incl Tobacco Rises 1.5% On Year - Final - 20 mins ago
*Italy April CPI Incl Tobacco Up 0.4% On Month - Final - 21 mins ago
Spain Consumer Price Inflation Rises In April - 39 mins ago
*Spain March HICP Up 1.6% On Year - Final - 1 hr ago
*Spain March CPI Up 1.1% On Month - Final - 1 hr ago
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Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
May 14, 2010 9:38
Trichet: ECB To Use Term Deposits To Withdraw Liquidity

(RTTNews) - The European Central Bank will use term deposit tenders to drain liquidity created by purchasing government bonds, the banks President Jean-Claude Trichet said.

We are not changing our monetary policy stance, Trichet said, according to excerpts of an interview with German daily Handelsblatt, published on the ECB Web site on Friday. We will withdraw the liquidity that we will inject mainly through tendering term deposits.

The Governing Council will not tolerate inflation, the central bank chief added. He declined to comment on the volume of government bonds the central bank intends to purchase.

When asked about what induced him to take the decision to buy government bonds, Trichet said sharply deteriorating situation in a number of financial markets demanded swift action from the central bank. Further, he said the central bank is committed to preserve its goal of maintaining price stability.

While saying that the case of Greece was clearly an exceptional situation, he urged other Eurozone nations to implement programmes commensurate to recover sound fiscal situation.

What we must achieve first, are sound and rigorously implemented adjustment programmes fully in line with the commitment of Governments to take all measures needed to meet their fiscal targets this year and the years ahead in line with excessive deficit procedures and to accelerate fiscal consolidation and ensure the sustainability of their public finances.

Trichet said the measures taken by the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of England cannot be compared with those taken by the ECB. He insisted that the ECB moves through the Securities Market Programme is not quantitative easing.

The ECB chief ruled out possibility that the measures adopted by the bank will dampen growth in Europe. It is a complete fallacy to say that fiscal soundness dampens growth. It is exactly the contrary. It is the absence of fiscal credibility which dampens growth.

Further, the central bank chief stated that the ECB has delivered price stability in line with its definition of below, but close to 2% since the euro was introduced in 1999. Trichet added that this track record underlines ECBs credibility.

For comments and feedback: contact editorial@rttnews.com