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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 12:53
what i find worrying about the S&P500 is 5days of directionless trade, a reverse hammer followed by a doji , now today the futures arent looking like they want to test the 50day and look like hugging the bottom of the bollinger 20,2 ive got a big support line in @1071 which it bounced off nicely yesterday, my gut feeling is we are going to break to 1040, unfortunately i feel the market may try a move up to test 1120 again before the end of aug before that happens. For me a key level will be the 100ma closing in this friday on the current level.
Anyone agree?
mabedi
mashhad, Iran
Posts: 29
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 8:52
salam kidwai,
fine thank you ,
your target ??
kidwai
karachi, Pakistan
Posts: 77
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 8:46
Sallam Mabedi

How are u i dont think so that its a right time to sell gold, i am going to sell it at 1240.

Thanks
Best Regards
mabedi
Iran
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 8:19
Hi ashraf,
what do you think ???
Sell GOLD @ 1221
With Target 968 ???
Have nice trade
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 3:01
asad

do u know what sustain the security of the straight of hormuz?
Lets have this diplomatic side effect of a conflict in the straigh of hormuz. u change all the given card in the oil road map i.e all transaction given between major and national ones is transfered for the sole purpose of one the main suplier since march 2009. and this is not saudi arabia. the last development doesnt say so.
then apart of changing the oil road map u make shift the consumption to gas but the usa are not ready yet. they need more years to implement this strategy if implemented.
thirdly even a conflict in hormuz will benefit iran due to the oil strategy in the caucasian and caspian area.

to finish havent u never paid attention to the history of the SPR

all this is psychose
an arabic say: what is written in the forehead cannot be taken out by hands
but sometimes for the good of everything it is wiser to foresee.

Qiman
United States
Posts: 237
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 2:47
This is a fine article regarding the recent high correlation between the S and P and the price of oil:

Crude oil is now influenced more by the stock market than by its own inventory levels or demand patterns. (Something I have said many times) Lately, that lockstep has reached an extreme, with the correlation between crude oil and the Standard & Poor's 500-stock Index hovering around 70%, doubling the average of 34% since 2008.
http://uk.ibtimes.com/articles/20100816/energy-report-monday-august-16.htm
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 2:43
Said,

Technically, no...fundamentally, YES!

Bear in mind that ONE-THIRD of the world's DAILY oil supply directly, or indirectly, passes through the Strait of Hormuz (largely home to Iran). Iran minces NO words about blocking the Strait in the scenario of a military "misadventure", leading to a supply shock.

In such an event, WHO stands to lose the most?! Ofcourse, the world's largest oil consumer...and the closest ally to Israel...


Asad


P.S. STILL thinking long!
asad
London, UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 2:37
Ashraf,

I understand where you're coming from...but 21/8 could well be the last straw for Israel! On this day, Russia is providing fuel rods to Iran...fitting which, into the reactors, will complete its cycle for delivering nuke-headed weapons.

This time, the rumors could WELL become a reality...


Asad


P.S. The fact that the rumors aren't THAT intense this time are another indication?
amg
Oklahoma, United States
Posts: 38
14 years ago
Aug 17, 2010 0:30
Ashraf or anyone in the forum trading gold, where would be a good level to buy gold? I don't want to jump in rigth now since it looks to be a bit overbought. Any advice would be greatly appreciated.


Amg
said
mulhouse, France
Posts: 2822
14 years ago
Aug 16, 2010 23:15
asad
rumors doesnot make action
technically it doesnt loks possible
iran export its crude to refine mainly in england and rotterdam then reimport it as finished product. to cope with subside price on pertoleum product there must be an equilibrium reached between this producer and the refiners countries.
all this is noise and the market react shortly to noise.
eveybody has to deal with pricing power and megacontracts