EURUSD 1.1851 |
USDJPY 111.52 |
GBPUSD 1.3772 |
AUDUSD 0.7485 |
USDCAD 1.2406 |
GBPJPY 153.59 |
EURJPY 132.15 |
AUDJPY 83.48 |
CADJPY 89.86 |
Silver 26.23 |
كيف تنخفض نسبة التضخم في بيتكوين تحت نسبة تضخم الذهب و ما يعني "صلابة" بيتكوين كعملة او إرادة؟
Bitcoin versus Miners Performance
As many of you know 2023 was kind to members of our WhatsApp Broadcast Group who snapped up shares in bitcoin miners, while 2024 has so far been more superior to Bitcoin than most of the miners...
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as I use a fx trading system based on value at risk numbers the objective is to find the var as a number between 0 and 1. So the question is how risky is it to hold USD instead of EUR, to hold GBP instead of JPY etc. Actually I don't even care about relative prices for ex. how many USD buy 1 EUR. As for now the risk to hold USD instead EUR is significantly higher.
So it could well be EURUSD crosses 140 soon and then even reach 150.
There are however some values which do not support this. Why should Eurobond fall in the same manner as 2 y UST? Somewhat slower yes but the direction is the same.
When I figure this out EURUSD could as well drop sharply from 140 and could fall to 133.
Both is possible by ye with same probability. It depends also on how long ECB can sustain
1% interest when according to Dudley FED is headed for -0.5% effective rate?
So I am a bit baffled to see EONIA falling 23% in one day.
currencies move in macro directions based on fundamentals
- however, the central banks keep intervening resulting in distortions which last for months.
Euro would have depreciated
- had China not intervened, and then Japan intervened and now the FED is jumping gun
current set of interventions are uncoordinated, so you have seen the Euro peaking, then Swiss and Dollar and then Yen in multi year highs. The net result is devaluation and loss of value for the currencies.
I will see Euro around 1.50
but the main question is what to buy - Gold / Silver / Oil / Sugar / Wheat / Aussie / Swisse or canadian dollar or to put it in Chinease stocks
thats the main question - when you go out the major currencies, what do u do
they are very good researchers... can find almost every articles and analysis of so many different analysts.....
can't understand why they waste so much time on such things when all the answers are right there in front of them all the time.... :)
What would be the fundamental reason for current upmove for Euro?...
you probably kept thinking to sell Euro at lower levels because of your fundamental reasons and it should be heading to parity(by end of the year? :)) as you mentioned...
so.. next question... where is Euro headed and when would be the right time to sell Euro?...
explanation in layman's words would be greatly appreciated... :)
jim rogers wideo