Intraday Market Thoughts Archives
Displaying results for week of Mar 15, 2026Answer to Gold Chart
Here is a detailed video (English and Arabic), revealing and explaining the mystery indicator, working as support for gold. Full video.
This Gold Chart
What does the graph represent? You know the reasons, but focus on this chart.
1. Reporters/Junior analysts: rising yields/high inflation end case for rate cuts.
2. Junior Traders: Selling few some holdings to lock gains & absorb portfolio losses
4. AdvisoryNewsletters that charge you $12k per year: Iran & Russia selling to finance wars etc.
3. Senior Traders: Margin calls... Now back to the chart...what does the graph represent?
Beware of Fed Today
The Fed's latest dot plot forecasts from December expected one rate cut for 2026. All eyes are on the new forecasts published today. Will they continue to expect one rate cut, or raise it to two rate cuts or no rate cuts at all? It is not unusual to hear Powell give a different view in his press conference. This is what happened at the December meeting. Powell can sound more dovish or hawkish than the dot plots.
Any hawkish suprises are expected to trigger more damage in gold, silver with upside in USDJPY. EURUSD is likely to be relatively supported compared to GBPUSD. Equity indices are seen less impacted negatively than metals in the event of a hawkish surprise.
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