June Seasonals in Equities

by Ashraf Laidi

Jun 9, 2009 16:33

June has proven a losing month for equities along with September. The chart shows the percentage change during the month of June for the S&P500 in each of the 10 years between 1999 and 2008. 7 of the last 10 years ended negative on the month, with 1999, 2003 and 2004 being the only positive years for the month. 2008 was the worst June for the S&P500, losing 7.7%, followed by 2002, 2001 and 2000. US and European equities are well into their 5th week of consolidation, illustrating prolonged signs of peaking oscillators. As we approach earnings season and markets price rising chances of higher interest rates by year-end, the prospects for equities become remain dubious.

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