Ashraf Laidi on CNBC About Football & the Eurozone - June 22, 2012
Jun 25, 2012 3:26
Ashraf draws a few analogies between the Euro2012 Football match between Greece and Germany and their respective roles in the Eurozone.
Barely five years ago, it was unimaginable for Germany's "player of the moment" to be named "Mario Gomez", or have a prolific midfielder named "Mesut Ozil". Just as it has become more "accepted" for Germany's football team to have key players originating from Poland, Spain, Turkey and Tunisia, Chancellor Merkel's government may have no choice but to play by the rules of reality demonstrating flexibility in dealing with its Southern neighbors.
The Bundesbank's staunch opposition to bond purchases was overcome two years ago and will likely do so again this autumn with the inclusion of a third LTRO. Although the LTRO was solely useful for containing bond yields and alleviating banks' liquidity costs by dragging down EUROIS spread, it was beneficial in buying policymakers time. Just as the German central bank succumbed to those demands, it has grown tolerant of a temporary increase in inflation. Now Berlin may need to accept rendering the fiscal rules more flexible, by allowing an extension of fiscal targets for Spain and Greece.
Berlin is also being pressured by France and the IMF to further support recapitalizing banks directly without the involvement of the governments, as is currently proposed for Spain.
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Here is 90-second video on gold's movements during Trump's speech in Davos. The apparent deal struck with Europe over Greenland has helped stocks and weighed down on metals. Gold fell more than $100 after reaching the $4890 target first mentioned 4 weeks ago. I still own my nulcear and rare earths stocks, such as CCJ, OKLO, TMC and UAMY as well as the semiconductor derivative plays, but also diversified to non tech such as AIR, APG, BBIO and others. After having united Europeans over Greenland resulting from his threatsm, Trump is now shifting towards gradually dividing Europe by prompting nations to compete for positioning over rare earths. China will also likely revert to its aggressive policy and rare earths will likely benefitl. The Maths Reminder on XAUUSD is in this video.
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