Ashraf Laidi on CNBC About Football & the Eurozone - June 22, 2012
Jun 25, 2012 3:26
Ashraf draws a few analogies between the Euro2012 Football match between Greece and Germany and their respective roles in the Eurozone.
Barely five years ago, it was unimaginable for Germany's "player of the moment" to be named "Mario Gomez", or have a prolific midfielder named "Mesut Ozil". Just as it has become more "accepted" for Germany's football team to have key players originating from Poland, Spain, Turkey and Tunisia, Chancellor Merkel's government may have no choice but to play by the rules of reality demonstrating flexibility in dealing with its Southern neighbors.
The Bundesbank's staunch opposition to bond purchases was overcome two years ago and will likely do so again this autumn with the inclusion of a third LTRO. Although the LTRO was solely useful for containing bond yields and alleviating banks' liquidity costs by dragging down EUROIS spread, it was beneficial in buying policymakers time. Just as the German central bank succumbed to those demands, it has grown tolerant of a temporary increase in inflation. Now Berlin may need to accept rendering the fiscal rules more flexible, by allowing an extension of fiscal targets for Spain and Greece.
Berlin is also being pressured by France and the IMF to further support recapitalizing banks directly without the involvement of the governments, as is currently proposed for Spain.
The latest Premium Insights include 10 new trading ideas, with 3 new charts on yen crosses and 1 on latest US business surveys andhttp://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/ ?a=658 Non subscribers please click here:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
The upper panel of the chart shows net speculative longs in the futures contract of US Dollar Index (formerly Chicago Mercantile Exchange now Intercontinental Exchange). See how sentiment has improved from net shorts to 328 net longs contracts (longs exceed shorts by 328), to enter positive territory for the first time since June 2025. There are 2 occasions when positioning entered positive before territory before dropping back to negative, dragging the US dollar--August 2009 and November 2020. Will this time prove the same and lead to fresh selling in the US dollar? Tenporary gains in DXY mean DXY will remain capped near 98 (55DMA), while EURUSD supported around 1.1750/70 also near the 55 DMA.
If you prefer to receive these daily analysis into your mailbox and not miss an update, then feel free to register (free) in "My Account" section in the upper rightcorner of the website. If you already have a username and forgot your password then email us to for a password reset, or use another username (email) and most importantly click to "Subscribe to Newsletter".
Latest Hot-Chart - Feb 23
Before and After the New Tariffs
The chart on the left is Nasdaq100 CFD (US100) which opened on Sunday night at 11 pm London Time after Trump announcement of 15% tariffs, and the other chart is the Nasdaq cash, ending on Friday...
View Hot-Chart..
Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
Read Article..