Whether the US ends up in the outbreak of the fiscal cliff or simply delaying it, the materialization or the threat of a clear deterioration in GDP (F.C. may cause as much as 1% drop in GDP growth) will give no choice to the Fed but to resume (and possibly deepen) its policy of asset purchases. Regardless, Deceember expected to trigger fresh rounds of CenBank stimuli.
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On March 30th, I sent an IMT (see here) highlighting how we called the bottom in Nasdaq at 22780, with a video demonstration shown here . On Monday, we issued a bullish post on Nasdaq, calling for a rally extension to 24,440 at the meeting point of the 200-DMA. This is what we call 2000 points highlighted to out WhatsApp Bdcst Group members. We ignored the insults-ridden messages of Trump, we disregarded his threats to "destroy civilisation" and stayed Long Gold and Long Nasdaq until 4840 and 24,440. 4840, you may recall is a near make-or break level for Wave 4. So, You have two choices: Chase Trump and the news on every release, or stick to a set of fundamental and technical framework. Here is one message sent on Monday before going on holiday.
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Latest Hot-Chart - Mar 30
Patterns on Fridays & Mondays
Since the start of the war on Iran, the pattern of falling Fridays in US equity indices has become obvious. Will the pattern ends this week.
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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