Ashraf Laidi on CNBCArabia's Al-Hasila Talking Euro Joblessness - Apr 3, 20121
Apr 3, 2012 19:36
Ashraf tackles the topic of 15-year high unemployment in the Eurozone as a result of deepening austerity measures. Part of the unemployment problem is due to structural unemployment stemming from inefficient social security services discouraging employment. These issues were already a problem prior to the 2007-8 crises. Ashraf also touches upon the potential of escalating social malaise spilling onto deteriorating racial tensions, especially if government shift further to the right as might be in the case of France.
A lot has happened since I posted this XME/XLE chart from 3 weeks ago (click on this link and scroll down). Gold is a little stronger vs oil with XME/XLE ratio at 0.59 and the RSI is now testing the trendline resistance. As a reminder, XME is a major ETF for metals & mining stocks, while XLE is the biggest ETF for energy firms. Why am I mentioning this now? Metals (specifically gold) could further be boosted by the necessity for nations (especially oil-importers) to preserve the value of their monetary reserves against oil. Regardless of whether these nations are from the industrialized or less developed world, they must preserve their purchasing power of oil. See whatGhana agreed with the UAE about paying for their oil with gold in my tweetearlier this week. OPEC will be closely watching the ouctome of next week's EU discussions of the G7 price cap on Russian oil exports. Any prolonged decline in oil prices will see OPEC rushing to cut supplies, which would affirm the importance of stocking up on those few monetary/nonmonetary reserves that maintain their value relative to oil. And that would be no other than gold. Watch the RSI on XME/XLE.