Ashraf Laidi Previews 2012 with Alarabiya's Nadine Hani
Jan 7, 2012 22:43
Ashraf Laidi tells Nadine Hani of AlArabiya the US economic expansion will continue into the 1st half of the year but shall struggle closer to the summer as the Eurozone slowdown overlaps with a deepening retreat in the BRICs. The result will be re-emerging speculation (and need) for QE3 in the US, which will be manifested in renewed downside in US and global equities. Ashraf has drawn parallels to a particular phase in 2010 in his Premium Intermarket Insights, which can be viewed herehttp://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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