Record highs in the stock market, 6-year highs in US consumer sentiment, the longest streak of +100K NFP in 12 years, 6-year lows in unemployment rate, 2-year highs in bond yields. With these dynamics at play, the Fed ought to scale down monthly asset purchases, by at least $10 bn this year (even if it is symbolic) to account for the change in fundamentals over the last 6 months (and not the last 6 weeks). Failure to do so, is serious lapse of credibility to Bernanke and doves at the Fed.
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Before I tell you about the AAOI Trade I shared with the WhatsApp Broadcast Group last week (now up 38% in less than 5 days), just a few quick words about the Fed. Wednesday's rate cut coupled with no hawkish surprises from Powell's conference was a launchpad for USD weakness, metals strength and equities' surge (Dow30 hit new record). Markets can look beyond Oracle's disappointing earnings to eat the dish served by the Powell (lower rates, short term liquidity while inflation isn't completely vanquished). Anytime you hear/see/smell rate cuts during an inflationary environment, the above occurs. Altcoins and Bitcoins are slow to rally, but Bitcoin miners afre flexing their muscle. See below the AAOI Trade I shared with the WBG, whereby we entered at $26 on Friday and now its $36. Meanwhile, Reddit is up 68% since we bought it in July.
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Latest Hot-Chart - Nov 24
Updating post 9th
سأرسل رسالة صوتية و كتابية توضيحية لأعضاء مجموعة الواتساب الخاصة حول هذه المخططات - Will send detailed note on latest parameters to our WhatsApp Bdcst Group - -...
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Uncertain December
The oscillating changes in market expectations for the December FOMC meeting implies more volatility into the next 4 weeks.
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