Gold selloff turns to a free fall on reports of margin calls hitting buyers at the Shanghai Gold Exchange. China's weaker than expected GDP figures coming in at 7.7% from 7.9% did not help metals either. Fears that nations other than Cyprus will resort to gold selling to bolster their finances are hurting the metal. Silver extends collapse to 23. Both gold and silver are seeing a Monday rebound, which many conclude to be bottom fishing by the central banks. To find out, which of the 2 metals faces more downside, take a look at our note on the Gold/Silver Ratio in the latest Premium note. New trades are issued on GOLD, SILVER and USDCAD with accompanying trading notes to lay out the rationale for these trades.http://ashraflaidi.com/premium
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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