أشرف العايدي على سي ان بي سي العربية -- 06 أغسطس 2013
Aug 6, 2013 16:43
. ??????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ???? ???? ?? ????? "???? ??? ???????" ???? ??????? ??? ???? ???????? ??? ??????? ???????? ???? ?????? ????. ???? ?? ????. ??? ????? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? ??? ???? ???? ?????? ???????? 2.0 %.
???? ???? ?????? ?????? ?? ??????? ??????? ???? ?? 2.0% ??? ?? ???? ?? 4 ?????. ??? ????? ?? ?????? ?????? ??? 2.2% ?? ?????? ??????? ????? ??? ??????? ?? ???? ??? ???? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ??. ?? ????? ?????? ??????? ??????? ????? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ????? ????? ??? ?????? ??? ?????? ??????? ??????? ??????? ??? ?????? ?????? ????? ???? ????? ???? ??????? ??????? ?? ????? ????? ??????? ??? ????? ???????? ??? ??? ??? ???? ??? ???? ??????? ????? ????? ???????.
????? ??? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ??? ?????? ??? ??? 2.0% ??????? ??????? ??? "???? ???????"? ????? ???? ??????? ???? ?? ??????? ?? ?? ??????? ??????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ?? "???? ???? ??????".
The only bit of forward guidance from Carney's BoE has been the indication that current gilt yields were too high. That is not enough. Carney will have to introduce an additional policy objective besides the 2.0% inflation target.
UK annual inflation has been above 2.0% for nearly 4 years. Despite halving inflation to 2.2% last autumn, the BoE has yet to meet its mandated target. At next week's inflation report, we expect Carney to introduce growth-oriented targets, such as employment metrics or loans to the private sector, enabling the Monetary Policy Committee to stimulate hesitant growth without focusing attention on a single price target at the expense of sacrificing vital growth.
As long as Mr. Carney insists that inflation will recede back towards 2.0% and uses terms such as "escape velocity", bond traders can be assured that monetary policy is far from "maxed out".
Before I tell you about the AAOI Trade I shared with the WhatsApp Broadcast Group last week (now up 38% in less than 5 days), just a few quick words about the Fed. Wednesday's rate cut coupled with no hawkish surprises from Powell's conference was a launchpad for USD weakness, metals strength and equities' surge (Dow30 hit new record). Markets can look beyond Oracle's disappointing earnings to eat the dish served by the Powell (lower rates, short term liquidity while inflation isn't completely vanquished). Anytime you hear/see/smell rate cuts during an inflationary environment, the above occurs. Altcoins and Bitcoins are slow to rally, but Bitcoin miners afre flexing their muscle. See below the AAOI Trade I shared with the WBG, whereby we entered at $26 on Friday and now its $36. Meanwhile, Reddit is up 68% since we bought it in July.
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Latest Hot-Chart - Nov 24
Updating post 9th
سأرسل رسالة صوتية و كتابية توضيحية لأعضاء مجموعة الواتساب الخاصة حول هذه المخططات - Will send detailed note on latest parameters to our WhatsApp Bdcst Group - -...
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Uncertain December
The oscillating changes in market expectations for the December FOMC meeting implies more volatility into the next 4 weeks.
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