Bernanke resorts to the familiar method of reiterating the Fed's willingness to do more if required by the labour market without necessarily signalling any imminent action. Euro is the biggest victim of Bernanke's silence, losing nearly a full cent to reach $1.2205 after Bernanke's text hit the wires. The single currency faces increasing macro, fiscal and structural challenges deemed required to extend its decline below $1.20 and towards the $1.18 levels of 2 years ago when Eurozone problems were far less pronounced than they are today.
Short of an aggressive round of outright asset purchases from the Fed and a 3rd LTRO (this time at 0.75%), the single currency's days above $1.20 may become numbered. The question then remains, to what extent will any central bank-driven euro bounce remain short-lived? And with a stimulus package from China becoming more imminent, chances for coordinated global interventions become inevitable.
Here is 90-second video on gold's movements during Trump's speech in Davos. The apparent deal struck with Europe over Greenland has helped stocks and weighed down on metals. Gold fell more than $100 after reaching the $4890 target first mentioned 4 weeks ago. I still own my nulcear and rare earths stocks, such as CCJ, OKLO, TMC and UAMY as well as the semiconductor derivative plays, but also diversified to non tech such as AIR, APG, BBIO and others. After having united Europeans over Greenland resulting from his threatsm, Trump is now shifting towards gradually dividing Europe by prompting nations to compete for positioning over rare earths. China will also likely revert to its aggressive policy and rare earths will likely benefitl. The Maths Reminder on XAUUSD is in this video.
EURGBP Channel Test
EURGBP is on the cusp of a channel breakout. One of the least well known secrets is how this pair correlates with major equity indices.
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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