Most particularly about today's action is the recurring divergence between a falling euro and rising equities (alongside risk currencies weighing on USD) before the Fitch downgrade triggered an-all round risk-off reversal. As we speak, markets are attempting to rebound into the green, leaving the euro behind, highlighting the possibility that further question marks in Spanish banks ability to recapitalize will not necessarily spill-over to non-Eurozone assets as far as contagion is concerned.
Combining the Spain bailout with expectations of a market-friendly outcome in Greek elections (New Democracy now leads over leftwing Syriza party) and signals for further QE in next week's FOMC allows for an extension of the recent rebound in equity indices. This is already favouring the risk currencies of GBP, NZD and AUD, with CAD.
last night's Premium Intermarket Insights titled "Maintaining Consolidation View, include" longs EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCAD and gold. No positions in US crude. Distinguishing between the short and medium long term in these trades remains key. Direct Access here:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=645 Non subscribers can join here:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01
You thought that quiz i posted last Friday in Cordoba had nothing to do with the markets. Think again. 3 of the 4 numbers are related to oil, rather to to a certain date to be more precise. Out of the several trades I shared with the WhatsApp Group, the one that remains valid right now (if you receive this late) is Short USDJPY --and we're going to 157.70s. Watch the brief video til the end to understand the meaning and possible implications of the numbers for today's actions/events. Watch here.
US crude oil Update
سأرسل رسالة صوتية و كتابية توضيحية لأعضاء مجموعة الواتساب الخاصة حول هذه المخططات - Will send detailed note on latest parameters to our WhatsApp Bdcst Group...
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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