Uncertain December

by Ashraf Laidi
Nov 24, 2025 13:16

The oscillating changes in market expectations for the December FOMC meeting implies more volatility into the next 4 weeks. Odds of 25-bp rate cut dropped to as low as 27% last week, before rebounding to 72% on Friday, following a dovish speech from NY Fed president John Williams. 

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Uncertain December - Wirp Nov 24 11 (Chart 1)

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