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Posts by "ashraf laidi"

4584 Posts Total by "ashraf laidi":
4437 Posts by member
Ashraf Laidi
(London, United Kingdom)
147 Posts by Anonymous "ashraf laidi":
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
50 days ago
May 26, 2020 11:59
In Thread: CHF
In reply to Q8artrder's post
Thanks for your post.

GBP & JPY are facing opposing forces.

Let's see

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 months ago
Apr 30, 2020 12:34
In reply to SpeculatorPete's post
Pete,

And that is why i created this poll, making these crucial distinctions (testing but not breaking). I would expect retesting the lows before hitting new highs.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 months ago
Apr 30, 2020 12:31
In reply to will poho's post
Hi Will,

Yes, that seems to make sense. There was a Bloomberg survey of wealth managers saying their clients are waiting for another decline before buying. Many have missed buying those lows and are now desperate to get them back. Sort of like the 1987 low, which was never broken but only retested, leaving many to miss the rally.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
2 months ago
Apr 28, 2020 19:03
In Thread: EUR
In reply to SpeculatorPete's post

How about 20%. What's your basis


Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
4 months ago
Mar 6, 2020 1:24
In Thread: CHF
In reply to crs's post
Still very solid, especially vs USD but unsure whether the next slide will appear now or weeks later so careful abt the cost of holding CHF longs.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
4 months ago
Mar 6, 2020 1:24
In Thread: CHF
In reply to crs's post
Still very solid, especially vs USD but unsure whether the next slide will appear now or weeks later so careful abt the cost of holding CHF longs.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
8 months ago
Nov 11, 2019 10:45
In Thread: Ahead of the ECB
In reply to davidmichaels's post
David,

Thks for your input. EURUSD did well to hold above the 1.1030 horiz base, now eyeing another stab at 1.1110.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
9 months ago
Sep 27, 2019 12:44
In Thread: Will Fed do QE4?
In reply to tradingwala's post
It depends on what kind of "slowdown". Will it be a trade-related slowdown hitting mostly manufacturing, or will it spill onto a full-fledged growth contraction, accompanied by spiking volatility and sharp declines in equities?

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
9 months ago
Sep 26, 2019 21:39
In Thread: Will Fed do QE4?
In reply to tradingwala's post
Most central banks in the developed world are truly independent. Central bank independence began in the mid 1990s with the RBNZ being the first to gain constitution independence. The Bank of England became officially independent in 1997-98.

CentBank independence is crucial because it is in the interest of the economy --only when applied correctly. Any govt interference for political means is like taking steroids before a race, which you may win, while ignoring the long term side-ffects.

Deeper slowdown near end of Q1 2020.

Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
9 months ago
Sep 26, 2019 18:06
In Thread: Will Fed do QE4?
In reply to tradingwala's post
Hi,

Im not sure if i understood correctly, but your post seems to imply that the Fed will do QE4 for political purposes? I dont think that is the case. I continue to expect that any decision by the Fed to trigger QE4 would be out of economic need (deepening yield curve inversions) rather than pressure from Trump.

So it would be for the Fed to worry about that would look, not for Trump

I do not see him being impeached. But if he does, it would be a major negative event for the market.No doubt.

Ashraf