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Posts by "dodger"
122 Posts Total by "dodger":
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
May 6, 2010 8:16
In Thread: JPY
When things are this volitile,you can make or loose a lot of money on these crosses,we have NFP,uk election result,various euro politico comments,all could effect yen movements even if unrelated to euro,ie.good NFP could push usd/jpy,cameron victory???could drive up gbp/jpy,these would also effect euro/jpy even if euro/usd is in the mud.For me this business is as much about avoiding the punches as landing them,by hard experience trade can look good but be badly timed and you walk into awall of short covering or central banks bargain hunting.
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
May 5, 2010 9:53
In Thread: GBP
Woooo! Catnip very bold predictions back there and you could well be right,however the club med have done a very good job as ballast to stop the Bundesbank based euro rising too high in the past.If you take the strong euro countries let alone bring in the brits you end up with a supercurrency that could rapidly face the problems the yen faced of outpricing its own production.
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
May 3, 2010 4:44
In Thread: EUR
National strike been called by Greek unions wednesday,this is rapidly becoming less an ecconomic problem and is morphing into a major political one.
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 29, 2010 2:50
In Thread: EUR
Greeks were out on the street last year proving their credentials as triple AAA rioters,it seems there are plenty in greece including the unions and far left who are prepared to fight hard against any IMF or German imposed austerity measures.Throw the possibility of serious civil strife into the mix"very possible" people having the knowledge that they cleared the police off the street in the last riots???That could be a real serious situation causing a contagion europe really does not want and one that could leave us with a very different looking euro from what we have now!
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 27, 2010 14:05
In Thread: Commodity FX (CAD AUD NZD NOK)
Catnip,where did you hear that?Over last two weeks chinese central government launched an all out attack to curtail the real estate speculation bubble,have been thinking last few days they over stimulated in the first place and are now causing damage by coming in with the baseball bat (check the shanghai index)!Would make sense that they are trying to balance things out by trying to channel money into industry and infrastructure.Away from the Hainan island "chinese costa"apartments that people have been flipping of late.
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 23, 2010 20:19
In Thread: EUR
Anybody who has ever been to greece will know the most often used word is "AVRIO",which means tomorrow though more often means some unknown time in the future,which is pretty much how the whole greek debt crisis has been panning out.Everything will be worked out avrio!!!!
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 23, 2010 7:56
In Thread: GBP
Both UK GDP and retail sales this morning have potential to push pound up today to.....better levels to sell !!!!!!!!
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 20, 2010 15:57
In Thread: JPY
Naoto kan wants to fight "deflation",therefore he wants to increase inflation(Asian WSJ sunday),japan is at very different stage of recession,they started theirs in 1990 and arguably exported it.This japanese administration is gaining a reputation for odd and unpredictable behaviour,don"t know how long they will last but any movement to 90 or below is likely to produce some sort of reaction verbal or otherwise(probably printing press).
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 18, 2010 6:02
In Thread: JPY
Technically fancy going short usd/jpy and crosses myself but very wary of bargain hunting from japanese institutions in aussie,also verbal or expansive intervention from japanese government.
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Dodger
London, UK
Posts:
139
14 years ago
Apr 15, 2010 17:34
In Thread: JPY
Placzek,know what you mean,think a lot of the old correlations that have been working for sometime are breaking down.ie.America went into recession 12-18 months before europe,there was strong euro,weak dollar .Now America seems to be emerging ahead of a weakened and divided europe,dollar strength (90s)style,and a new japanese government ready to print their way to a weaker yen.Things change!
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