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Posts by "stationdealer"

750 Posts Total by "stationdealer":
666 Posts by member
Stationdealer
(London, United Kingdom)
84 Posts by Anonymous "stationdealer":
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 30, 2010 10:13
In Thread: GBP
The pair that posses the biggest threat is USDJPY. Below 8820 the risk is high for a move below and that in time can be a big significant move possibly test of last years lows below 86 level. 8840 can hold as a triple bottom for USDJPY and again for now that remains to be seen.


Cable breaks 150 and if does not sustains 14965 level then it will be considered as a false break out which is mainly due to the cause of automated traded funds that pull or push market for short term profit taking.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 30, 2010 10:02
Rose just be careful with gold there at 1248 its seen as a buying area just slightly above 1244. Would advise tight stops to minimize risk.

Gold is favoured buy today. key signals should arrive from US stocks today, if we see a reversal then that should also take Gold higher if not higher only sideways 1239 & 1238 have met with some buyers in Gold.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 30, 2010 9:47
In Thread: GBP
UK Budget Will Cost 1.3 M Jobs Treasury

Guardian exclusive: Leaked government data concerning next 5 years shows hidden costs of austerity drive.http://www.guardian.co.uk/uk/2010/jun/29/budget-job-losses-unemployment-austerity
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 30, 2010 9:46
In Thread: GBP
Cable down at 1.5021 from around 1.5065 when I sat down. Yesterday was hearing stops through 1.5010-5 and larger through 1.4970 and have no reason to think that wont be the case today.
Obviously month end and there will be the usual expectation of European central bank buying of the EUR/GBP cross related to UK s payment to EU. Will be interesting to see whether this can make a dent in the well-defined downtrend. Cross presently at .8132, marginally firmer from North American close Tuesday down around .8090.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 30, 2010 9:40
In Thread: EUR
Euro just rebounding from its resistance 12240 at 12219. Until we dont see a clear break of 30 40 points above 12240 it's not likely to continue in a trend, CPI data in 30 mins. While Cable slides lower resistance at 15005.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 30, 2010 9:35
In Thread: GBP
OEs Posen: Inflation Has Been Rising In UK Despite Deflationary Pressures


BOE Posen: Only Too Happy To Vote for Rate Hike if Justified
BOE Posen: Confident Tighter Policy Would End Inflation Creep
BOE Posen: Monetary Policy Set to Avoid Recession Too Loose If It Works
BOE Posen: Not Confident UK Economy Outturn Will be Favorable
BOE Posen: Some Key Determinants for UK outside MPC Remit
BOE Posen: UK Economy Tentatively in Recovery State


Difficult to attribute rise in inflation to one-off factors
Inflation creep is result of policy being set too loose to prevent downside risks
UK is poised between 2 outcomes given coming austerity in Europe, recovery outside
Happy to raise rates if get to positive outcomde
Not confident well get to that favourable situation, outlook set internationally
A slow creep in CPI expectations no reason to tighten policy if forecast argues against
UK economy tentatively in recovery state, still subject to switching to recession
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 29, 2010 22:37
Nervous Yet My Maties, been busy shifting home but what conflicting week this has become already.


World stocks, commodity prices and the euro tumbled on Tuesday as risk appetite ebbed over concerns about the repayment of 442 billion euros ($545.5 billion) to the European Central Bank.

Gold inched higher and U.S. Treasuries rose, pushing two-year note yields to the lowest on record, as jitters over the euro zone debt crisis supported safe-haven demand.

Yields on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasuries fell below 3 percent for the first time since April 2009 as the euro hit an all-time low versus the Swiss franc and an 8-1/2-year trough against the yen.

Investors shunned riskier assets and traders cited significant U.S. dollar short covering overnight, further weighing on the euro.

The dollar was up against a basket of major currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index .DXY up 0.71 percent at 86.26.

The euro was down 0.98 percent at $1.2157.

The risk premium on southern European government bonds over benchmark German bunds widened and the cost of insuring their debt against default rose.

"There is quite a lot of worries about the (U.S.) payrolls, worries about stress tests of European banks and also the rollover of ECB's long-term repo operations that will be taking place in the next couple of days," said Paul Robson, currency strategist at RBS Global Banking.

European shares slumped, with the FTSEurofirst 300 .FTEU3 index down 2.8 percent. Shanghai's equities index .SSEC plunged more than 4 percent and Japan's Nikkei .N225 was poised for its worst quarter since 2008.

Banks were among the heaviest decliners as they prepare to pay back the ECB money that was borrowed a year ago at rock bottom rates, leaving a potential liquidity shortfall in the financial system of over 100 billion euros.

Barclays, BNP Paribas and BBVA were down 3 percent to 4.1 percent.

U.S. stocks extended losses, dropping more than 2 per cent, after a weak reading of the Conference Board's U.S. consumer confidence index, which fell in June to 52.9 from a downwardly revised 62.7 the previous month.

The CBOE Volatility Index .VIX jumped more than 16 percent to a session high of 33.82 on news of the private business research group's confidence index.

Even though single-family home prices unexpectedly climbed in April from the previous month, signs of a sustained recovery have yet to emerge, price indexes from Standard & Poor's/Case Shiller showed.

The S&P composite index of prices in 20 U.S. metropolitan areas rose 0.4 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis after a downwardly revised 0.2 percent drop in March, compared with a 0.1 percent decline forecast in a Reuters survey.

MSCI's all-country world index .MIWD00000PUS fell 2.7 percent and its emerging markets index .MSCIEF fell. 2.8 percent.

Shortly after 10 a.m., the Dow Jones industrial average .DJI was down 224.46 points, or 2.21 percent, at 9,914.06. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index .SPX was down 25.39 points, or 2.36 percent, at 1,049.18. The Nasdaq Composite Index .IXIC was down 65.29 points, or 2.94 percent, at 2,155.36.

Oil prices fell more than 3 percent to below $76 per barrel and copper shed more than 4 percent as concerns about economic recovery weighed on market sentiment.

U.S. light sweet crude oil fell $2.64 to $75.61 a barrel.

ICE Brent fell $2.47 to $75.12.

Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury notes were trading 14/32 higher in price to yield 2.97 percent. Bond yields move in inverse relationship to their price.

Against the yen, the dollar was down 0.92 percent at 88.53.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 28, 2010 13:37
Still holding copper after Fridays 109.45 high, little lower before the US session open, hoping it retests 313/314.
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 28, 2010 11:28
In Thread: EUR
Romania the new disaster master, its currency touching new lows.

Where is every body today? It's awfully quite here today.........
Stationdealer
London, UK
Posts: 715
14 years ago
Jun 28, 2010 11:04
In Thread: EUR
Stationdealer
UK
June 28, 2010 05:01 ET Last paragraph......

*he UK has passed a high profile austerity budget (see analysis here) and so has Germany. Nevertheless, the G20 remains divided.** FORGOT TO PROVIDE LINK **

http://www.guardian.co.uk/news/datablog/interactive/2010/jun/22/budget-2010-information-beautiful-blog