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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 20, 2010 5:00
Comments: 30765
Forum Topic:

EUR

Discuss EUR in this thread
 
subway90
Posts: 1078
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 12:36
another short order placed at 4430.... don't see much more upside at least for today.. 4440/50 will likley cap any further upmove...

my tp placed at 4330....

will likely see pullback to main support around 4280/4300 level early part of next week... if that level holds... see final push higher to 4470/4500 level....
a dialy close below 4280 could signal top in place and correction already started....

gl/gt
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 11:14
I repeat I am short in Portuguese banks Spanish banks spanish cajas...
Each and every opportunity for Portugal and Spain to become a competitive economy had been
deliberately destroyed by Germany and France. Greece's economy is tourism industry, period.
yobadnewz
London, UK
Posts: 21
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 10:58
So any thoughts on Spain? Bailout rated as 1 in 7 by Capital Economics...but other than producing great football teams (subsidised by the government), what does Spain produce these days to generate meaningful growth?
place yer bets...
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 10:44
For the DX #F I have an important cluster of potentially powerful support at 74.70
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 10:33
Nor, I had a coupla replies to the link you posted on US debt. Contributors who are deep into the economics.


Frederic MARI Posted: 07 April 2011 10:49 AM [ Report ] [ Ignore ] [ # 18 ]

Total Posts: 40
Joined 2011-01-25 Sorry - I only skimmed this article and it looks pretty errr naive?

We know about M1, M3 etc. Most money is electronic. So what?

Then, there is the idea that the US gvt is not on the hook for its declared $12tr but $65tr. Fair enough. But it then says that, if the US confiscated ALL american assets, it wouldnt get $65tr. And proceed to compare it to world GDP (less than $65tr, it seems) or the US GDP ($14tr, iirc).

Except that these numbers are yearly numbers vs. a $65tr that is a stock of debt/NPV of a stock of liabilities. Thats a pretty big mistake.




Dean Webb Posted: 07 April 2011 08:29 PM [ Report ] [ Ignore ] [ # 19 ]


Total Posts: 118
Joined 2011-01-09 If it were mathematically impossible to repay the debt, then nobody would purchase US bonds.

They still sell, so that math isnt impossible yet.

What we are seeing, however, is a vast transfer of wealth from US taxpayers to owners of private lending institutions. The debt is a persistent cancer on the nation - and that extends to personal debt, as well.




Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 10:31
Hey subway your view on yen is quite similar to Edmatts...he is calling for ax the board based yen strength too.
subway90
Posts: 1078
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 9:38
on the contrary..

YEN..... will likely strenghten to 81 level after testing 86.30/50 level b4 heading higher towards 88/89 level...

so expect a big selloff for all the YEN crosses.... :)

gl/gt
subway90
Posts: 1078
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 9:32
USDx on it's way to test 74.50/60 support as i've mentioned.... from there i see healthy correction back up to 76.90/77 level b4 downtrend resumes....

it would be a broad-based dollar correction imo...

Euro - will likely top around 4470-4500 b4 correction down to 3950/4000 level...
GBP - will test around 6500 level b4 selloff... toward 5900 level...
CAD - test 9470-9500 b4 rebound to 9900-9950...
CHF - 9000-9050 support will hold for move to 9450/9500....
AUD - test of 1.0600/1.0620 b4 correction down to 1.0200 level...

gl/gt
cat0nip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posts: 1632
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 8:05
eurusd short call @143 sl 1432 and long . Sudden jumps in relative strengths happened at Tokyo open EUR strength up USD down . ( USD sold vs EUR) The divergence is still going on
holding the long call to 1441 at first. On strength differences zero the system closes automatically.
Nor
Lemberg, Canada
Posts: 249
13 years ago
Apr 8, 2011 4:43
whats with this move ....didnt see it coming during asia