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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 8935
Forum Topic:

Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)

Discuss Gold, Oil & Indices (Equity & Bond Indices)
 
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 14:28
bigb...thats why im sitting out and saving the rest of my cash for when dave..ignore..ect..start saying there long dollar.. prob miss out on some pips but i don;t have enough experience to spot a major reversal.. therefor best to leave that to the more experienced members..ok guys gl today:)
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 14:24
yeah, you answered the question.

Casey Resaerch another service I despise. Full of verbose rants and ego trips.
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 14:06
Sorry sir, to be fair, none of the 3 websites I frequent, viz. EWI, Elliott Wave Lives On or Elliott Wave predictions opined selling. In fact the 3 or so metal websites GoldnSilver, Silver.org & Casey Research have been advocating a buy even at these so-called "high" levels. This is the only forum that I visit and where I utter some nonsense. Thanks for the anonymity of this internet thingy.

Not giving excuses here but I think I do tend to get caught up with fading when I see others do it. I am generalising, but one glance at the posts and you feel that many are trying to pick a bottom with the USD or top is some other counter and it feels safe to be doing it with others. Typical greenhorn tendencies, I guess.

That is why I feel the need for someone above to shout at me to do the right thing.
DaveO
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 13:34
What information did you have to justify fading a very impulsive move bearing in mind you say only been trading 3 months. Ridiculous ! There is far too much fading going on in this forum which sets a bad example to any novices.
bigBaby
Singapore
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 12:47
I was stopped out with silver at 45.45. So much for my maiden foray into silver and attemp at fading it. On hindsight, when I sold it at 44.73 I ought to have taken some profit out of it at 44.30 or even 44.50 rather than hoping for it to breach 44 and hit my target of 4380, afterall silver is in a bullish streak.

I am reading that what we have witnessed in silver is still not a 'parabolic' move yet. Frankly if this is not parabolic I dunno what is(well then again I am only a 3 month old 'trader'.

When I asked a broker friend of mine what constitutes a 'parabolic move' in the case of silver he says that that will mean $2-3 upward movements everyday and towards the last stages even $5 a day movements. Cant quite imagine that.

This is not for the faint hearted. This quick silver hardly retraces and when it does it does the quickest of u-turns. And gold and silver play like a tag team together, when one sleeps the other makes its moves but finally they pull each other right along.

Appears that it's safer to join than to bet against this solid tag team in the current climate, IMHO.

Cant figure out how EWA fits into all this. Even EWI has given up with wave counts for silver for the past week or so. Yet EWI's current word on silver price is that- it is "highly unstable". Cute description.




DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 12:33
Silver as we all know has been extraordinary with vertical development and very shallow rets. All good things come to an end and very often when an impulsive vertical move lacks structure it will fully retrace with equal speed.

The only way to trade this is with trailing stops and watch gold for signalling the minor rets. You will find that silver almost always follows the direction of gold, albeit silver has at last caught up with gold over recent months and on this occasion overtaken.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 12:26
Gold has now hit my last posted 1509 level at 161.8% ext ret. No sign of a reaction as yet but its a level at which I take some profit off the table and move up stops. Eventually one of my levels will prove to be a significant High/low, they always do. I might stop posting levels as not much interest in them and hate just wasting valuable time.
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 11:43
maybe just hold this level through weekend
New Pip
birmingham, UK
Posts: 84
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 11:20
Thanks Qingyu.....I also expect Silver to top out in the interim period.. I have shorted 4571, which isn't too bad, but I'm hesitant with the slow movement there is going to be a big move.....not sure what direction

Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Apr 21, 2011 11:11
i expect silver have 100-150 pips down today, but maybe test 47/4750 level.