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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 2338
Forum Topic:

USD

Discuss USD
 
Qingyu
UK
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jan 12, 2011 18:39
because people only see they want to see.

if eur up is not dead cat bounce, then usd would fall. but that would leave uk/euro zone on a hot pan. eur will die within severl months.

but us still looks not happy with what china did in recent years. so i guess if someone sentence death, that would be china.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Jan 12, 2011 18:29
hehe, I would expect the highs to be taken but its interesting how some traders make a major fuss about double tops when it suits them to do so but not when it suits them to ignore, lol. I always look for "truth" in everything :-)
Qingyu
manchester, UK
Posts: 1763
13 years ago
Jan 12, 2011 18:24
eur is falling, if usd falling too, china will die...

they will never allow that happen.
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Jan 12, 2011 18:14
A little shy of the 200 DMA
DaveO
N.Cornwall, UK
Posts: 5733
13 years ago
Jan 12, 2011 18:14
Has anyone noticed double top on the DX ?
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jan 11, 2011 21:38
Jefferson prophesized what would happen to America if we ever lost the inalienable right to issue our own money.
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them, will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered."

Jefferson was right, he even got the sequence right. First inflation then deflation.
The FED is not going for inflation it fosters deflation. And has a chorus of paid
"experts" warning of inflation eating your wealth. Yes inflation does but deflation
extinguishes. So stock each and every greenback 100 dollar CASH will soon buy a luxury home.

mo
liverpool, UK
Posts: 123
13 years ago
Jan 11, 2011 3:56
Well done chloethebull final Your AUD position in the green. For me I had margin calls before the New Year and had to close my position around 1.0160 with huge loss.
chloethebull
Canada
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jan 11, 2011 1:45
audusd is finally paying off but i did not add more shorts on todays run up to 9960 level:( but holding some usdcad, just a matter of time b4 it to starts reporting neg- data just like the aud had neg trade surplus cad too will feel the effects of a strong cad:( looking to add more to usdcad on next drop..:)gl guys
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
13 years ago
Jan 10, 2011 20:21
This is rather lengthy but may help those who stubbornly think FED's "money printing" delutes the USD and robs the taxpayer. Also it is genesis: something from nothing.
Or: when nothing interacts with nothing, the nothings being separated by a boundary which is nothing, every something must appear ( for algebraic topologists)

Fed profit hits $81 billion
Posted by Colin Barr
January 10, 2011 12:14 pm


The money-printing business has never been better.

In the latest sign of an economy addicted to artificial stimulus, the Federal Reserve on Monday posted a record $81 billion profit for 2010.


Money for nothing?
That's more money than the entire U.S. banking industry has made over the past three writedown-soaked years. And unlike his counterparts on Wall Street, Fed chief Ben Bernanke doesn't stand to get a big lump of restricted stock.

That may be for the best, given all the risks the Fed is taking on to generate those profits -- including the risk of rising interest rates as the economy recovers, and the risk that another housing downturn will hit the value of the Fed's massive mortgage portfolio.

The Fed's earnings jumped 56% last year, as a river of money pours into central bank accounts thanks to efforts to prop up a laboring U.S. economy by purchasing bonds.

Since the financial crisis started in mid-2007, Bernanke & Co. have nearly tripled the size of their bond portfolio. Even a sharp decline in interest rates since then hasn't slowed the torrent of funds flowing into the Fed's coffers.

The Fed said income on its debt holdings, comprising mortgage bonds issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as well as Treasury securities, surged to $76 billion last year from $49 billion a year earlier.

The Fed also made $7 billion running bailout programs, such as the Maiden Lane companies that facilitated the 2008 bailouts of Bear Stearns and AIG (AIG) and helped keep Wall Street from a complete implosion.

A decade ago, before the Fed inflated its balance sheet in a bid to keep funds flowing through the economy, the central bank's annual profit was typically in the range of $25 billion to $30 billion.

The Fed turns over most of its profits to Treasury in weekly remittances from the 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks to the government. Those payments will total $78 billion for 2010 up 70% from a year ago.

Those funds go into taxpayers' pockets, though Monday's news will hardly make the Fed more popular.

Critics charge that the Fed's heavy hand in the bond market will make it hard for the central bank to remove its support when employment begins to rally and inflation becomes more of a threat. Already, the Fed's support for the mortgage market has led to complaints that it is controlling the flow of credit in the economy.

And skeptics have long wondered what the Fed's accounts will look like should we see a bond market panic like the one former Fed chief Alan Greenspan has taken to warning about.

A rise in interest rates reduces the value of bonds. A big enough rise could put the entire Fed balance sheet under water on a mark-to-market basis, though like most banks the Fed holds assets on the assumption it won' t have to sell them.

And indeed, the Fed is currently under no great pressure to reduce its bond holdings or slim its balance sheet the QE2 program that started in November does just the opposite.

But if the recovery picks up pace and rates go sharply higher, no annual profit numbers will be big enough to drown out all the righteous indignation about the Fed's risky business.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
13 years ago
Jan 10, 2011 17:12
DO NOT FORGET TEH FX IMPACT OF US BOND AUCTIONS

Much emphasis is placed on this week's bond auctions from Portugal, Spain and Italy, but dont forget the $66 billion in new supply issued in this weeks US Treasury auctions. $32 billion in 3-year note, $21 billion in 10 year notes and $13 billion in 30-year bonds will be issued on Tues, Wed and Thurs respectively. FX markets tend to boost the USD in the event of rising yields resulting from disappointing Treasury auctions. This explains the debt and growth-related reasons to the back-up in US bond yields and the resulting positive impact on the US currency. $GBPUSD resistacne intact at 1.5630 before fresh damage ensues. $EURUSD offers ascertained at 1.2950s for fresh retest of 1.2880s./


Ashraf