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by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 1558
Forum Topic:

JPY

Discuss JPY
 
Passion Trader
Singapore, Singapore
Posts: 52
14 years ago
Jul 25, 2010 12:13
Japanese Yen Bias: Positive-to-Neutral

Pressure on risk appetite to benefit the #1 safe haven Yen due to

Suspiciously lenient EU bank stress tests to boost risk aversion and safety currencies like the JPY, as the tests raise the likelihood of more negative surprises from EU banks

Warnings from Bernanke on risks of slowing US growth

Waning affects of US earnings season as good results now priced in

Other potentially bearish market movers for the coming week as noted above

Rising Yen over the past year threatens Japanese exports and thus economic recovery. BoJ verbal intervention becoming more likely as rising JPY hurts exports

Improving spending and growth data balanced by deflation threat
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 23:40
Sorry, meant lower (NOK/JPY)
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 17:56
Thanks Ashraf
Just what I was waiting for. However, last bottom was 13.4, going 13.3 then possibly higher. Let's see.
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 16:21
Fxhandler, NOKJPY showing the same pattern as EURJPY and with oil failing 200day MA, this pair is heading to 13.30

Ashraf
FXHandler
Norway
Posts: 195
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 15:28
Good call Ashraf.
Any predictions on where to sell JPY/NOK? See it have a hard time to go below 0.0700

Regards
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 13:12
For an idea on JPY strength, look what EURUSD si doing and what EURJPY is doing.

you read my rational yesterdays IMT why favouring shorts in GBPJPY rather than EURJPY. GBPJPY down 100 pips and more to come towards 132.


Ashraf
djellal
LAUSANNE, Switzerland
Posts: 531
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 12:29
@ ashraf & cat,

Thx
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 11:15
GBPJPY not looking good, following track on 133.60 and 133 but HotChart call is now hurt by the EUR-portion as stops triggered in favour of EUR buying, but yen still strong.


Ashraf
Ashraf Laidi
London, UK
Posts: 0
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 11:13
catnip, yes thats what i meant by japan owing to itself not to foreigners.

Ashraf
catnip
Frankfurt, Germany
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Jul 16, 2010 10:58
Ashraf
S&P can only downgrade, I think, Japan's sovereign credit ratings which is rated AA .
That wouldn't have much effect as Japanese are the vast majority of Jap sov bonds holders.