Forum > View Topic
by Ashraf Laidi
Posted: Feb 22, 2010 5:00
Comments: 3054
Forum Topic:

GBP

Discuss GBP
 
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 6, 2010 18:52
cable will drop like a stone guys! its march and we just closed lower by almost 1cent from previous friday close where typically march is USD bearish? not to mention we clearly broke 1.50 pyscological barrier and suckered back the cable bulls in trap mode! 1.20 is reasonable in q4 but 50% chance
redstone
bristol, UK
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 6, 2010 16:42
saxo bank targeting 120 in cable now
turtlemal
toronto, Canada
Posts: 3
14 years ago
Mar 6, 2010 0:05
@ Juke: You are quite right about the October doji candle. However, what I see this time is a market that has been declining at a fairly rapid pace for about 7 weeks now without any significant retracement on a weekly chart. That being said, these things can go on for longer than you expect.

Typically, your average retail trader would be very excited to sell into a rally like we saw today, which again, makes me more inclined to think the rally may continue at least for a little while longer.

Thats not to say I am a buyer here- the trend is fiercely down, but these bear market retracements can be pretty nasty if you are caught the wrong way. Personally I am on the sidelines waiting for a reason to sell- I just don't see one yet. I do see some reasons for caution on the short side, at least in the near term.

Just my opinion though :)
Juke
California , United States
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 22:53
I do not know much about technical, but someone in this forum mentioned of weekly bullish hammer at this wk close. On the wk of Oct-16-2009, despite the bearlish gravestone this kept going up.
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 22:10
The only hope of containing the short squeeze in gbp is for King to speak soon. Is he on the docket next week?

gbp will hit 1.53 in europe trade Monday.

Hope evryone here has deap pockets.
Juke
California, United States
Posts: 21
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 22:00
I was looking at the commitment of traders at Mar-2-2010 poistion. Over the last 3 wks, net GBP was consistently over -50K. Also surprised was the net long on JPY jumped to +27K from a mere +2K. I know this is a lagging data, but you guys think this main trend would get reversed anytime soon?
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 21:50
Cable: For what it's worth, technically, I'd think that a bounce up to 1.535 might be possible. I'd expect fundamentals to inhibit that in practice though.

rkkasmir said: "Why is there a divergence between (aud.usd and nzd,usd) and gold? "

Go on then RKK, enlighten us. It would be about the first positive contribution you have made here in weeks, if not months. I think you need to step back and ask yourself why are you here. Or just step back.
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 20:49
Commodity-backed currencies scream into the close, and will go out on THE high print of the day (except Cad, which was pretty close).

Why is there a divergence between (aud.usd and nzd,usd) and gold?
speculator
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 20:43
weekly trend and general bearish sentiment in europe
rkkashmir
Posted Anonymously
14 years ago
Mar 5, 2010 20:40
GBP and euro (and everything else except gold) going out at highs of the day vs USD. What will change over the weekend to prevent gap ups and more carnage here?