أشرف العايدي البيانات الصينيه في سي ان بي سي -- اغسطس 2012

Aug 9, 2012 14:52

Thursday's release of China's Jul CPI slowed to 1.8% from 2.2% (vs expectations of a lower 1.7% figure), which is the lowest level since Jan 2010. Notably, the decline has continued despite the rise in corn and wheat, which was instrumental in raising food prices in China. Retail sales hit their lowest since Jan 2010. With Chinse equities near their 5 -year low, the foundation of support may grow thin in the event of further data deterioration. For today's tradable ideas on EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDJPY, gold & oil, click herehttp://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=673

Latest IMT - Jan 07

Falling to 11 Percent

The odds of a Fed rate cut in January fell from 17% earlier in the day to 11% after the release of better than expected Services ISM and somewhat disappointing JOLTS survey on jobs openings. The chart below shows the graphs for expectations of a Fed rate cut for January (Green) and March (White). Focusing on the green graph, see how the probability of a January rate cut fell from 27% in mid December to 11% today, during which the DXY rose while gold also rose. Here is what I think: Even if the Fed ends up holding rates unchanged, expect gold and equities to be propped by an upcoming announcement from Donald Trump revealing his pick for the Fed chairmanship. Looking ahead. Keep an eye on $4400 and $70 as support for gold and silver respectively, with 1.1645 foundation for EURUSD. For equity indices, expect more gains into mid January for now. Take a look at AAOI here

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Latest Hot-Chart - Jan 05

EURUSD Next If EURUSD holds Monday above 1.17, it will show a hammer candle, supported above the 100-day moving average. View Hot-Chart..

Intermarket Analytics

21-yr Intermarket Charts - 7 indices 11 currencies 14 commodities Chart

21-yr Intermarket Charts - 7 indices 11 currencies 14 commodities Interactive charting by instrument, chronological and alphabetical order. This enables organizing each individual commodity, currency or equity index' performance by magnitude or chronological order. View..