Ashraf Laidi on CNBC Squawk Box - 19 March 2013

Mar 19, 2013 12:34

Neither Russian nor other depositors in Cyprus must receive Cyprus announcement to tax bank accounts as a surprise as these warnings emerged back in December from Germany --at a time when the media was busy with the US Fiscal Cliff and Greece's successful bond swap operation. Gold vs USD breaks its first 5-month string of losses (longest since 1997) and may be targeting 1625-28 before month-end. Yet, the faster-momentum pattern is in Gold vs. EUR; breaking an 18-week downward trendline and highlights similar upside as in May 2012 (Greek election impasse) and Nov-Dec 2011 (Italy debt selloff and political uncertainty). As the ascending weekly stochastics gain in strength, we could well see a break above the 100-WMA of 1250 and an extension towards 1,285. In order for EURUSD not to lose support below 1.2820-30, we will have to see a follow-up in Gold/USD towards 1645/50.

Latest IMT - Feb 25

USDJPY Jumps on Dovish Picks

USDJPY breaks above the 4-week trendline resistance to hit a 2-week high at 156.80 after Japan PM Takaichi appointed 2 dovish candidates to the 9-member policy board of the Bank of Japan. The candidates are professor Ayano Sato at Aoyama Gakuin University and professor Toichiro Asada of Chuo University. If they're confirmed, then these new members will likely provide material pushback to the BoJ's interest rate hike path, which could further weaken JPY vs major currencies. 2 days ago I reminded our WhatsApp Bdcst Group I was long USDJPY, targetting 156.40. The chart below suggests 157.70s could well be the next target.

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21-yr Intermarket Charts - 7 indices 11 currencies 14 commodities Chart

21-yr Intermarket Charts - 7 indices 11 currencies 14 commodities Interactive charting by instrument, chronological and alphabetical order. This enables organizing each individual commodity, currency or equity index' performance by magnitude or chronological order. View..