Ashraf tells CNBC that despite the broadening dynamics of a risk-off environment (dismal US jobs report and financing deadlock in Spain), the current rebound in EURUSD, stabilization in gold and pullback in the USD is a reflection of 3 temporary factors. Ashraf speaks about the difference between dissecting "muddling through" solutions and fundamentals-changing policies, extent of EURUSD bounce, latest Aussie GDP figures & why they are lagging, Bank of Canada direction, remaining solutions from the ECB as well as the dynamics of the US economy.
The CURRENT BOUNCE in risk appetite at the expense of USD is here to stay, but for how long? And will it be followed by a 100-pt consolidation until the next barrage of policy solutions? Tonight's Intermarket Insights provide the trading ideas and charts on EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, US crude and gold. Click here for direct access to today's edition:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=644 Click here to subscribe: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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Latest Hot-Chart - Apr 22
USDJPY and EURUSD
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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