2 days before the ECB meeting, ECB pres Draghi is expected to meet with Bundesbank president Weidmann. Will it be to discuss the possibility of restarting the securities markets programme to buy Spanish and Italian bonds, a program widely opposed by the Germans. Draghi's. While Wednesday's FOMC decision is expected to produce no call for action from the Fed regarding QE3, the ECB may reiterate its readiness to restart the SMP, but no as soon as this week. Spanish and Italian 10 year govt yields are 10-15% off their highs, while G10 equities are only 3-5% below their 2012 highs. For tradable ideas on EURUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, gold and silver, see Monday's Premium Insights here: http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/access/?a=670 Non subscribers can join here:http://ashraflaidi.com/products/sub01/
Now that both gold and silver broke well below key fibonacci levels following the jump in global bond yields, the selloff could accelerate depending on the extent, which stocks correct. We have learned this year, each time indices fall by more than 1%, metals move lower as asset managers liquidate long metals positions to stabilize their portfolios. We know the #1 economic priority (not an exageration) of the US administration is to stabilise bond yields in order to cap the interest rate on servicing the ballooning US debt. Gold and silver need to save the immediate support of 4500/oz and 75.40s/oz . The 23.6% retracement follow at $4450/oz and $73/oz respectively. Keep an eye on 10 year US bond yields, especially the possibility of a breakout of the wedge, which could trigger 5.0% in a swift manner. The market consequences of such an event would be cataclysmic.
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Understanding US Dollar 2018 2019
I created this chart in December 2024, pointing to the importance of understanding some of the fundamental events shaping USD Index between 2018 and 2019. Why 2018 and 2019.
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