Ashraf reiterates his bearish case for GBP and bullish stance for EUR, discussed in his Premium Insights on January 16. He points out the UK's inability to boost growth via austerity and rising probability of renewed QE by the BoE.
Ashraf also talks about the firming support for gold and he confluence between key moving averages and 5--year trendline. Upside seen sufficient to produce 1730-50 before momentum reaches a new juncture.
From the Jan 16 Premium Insights on GBPUSD:
"The divergence between GBPUSD and EURUSD is reflected in our ongoing bullishness in EURGBP, which started back in October. Although the June trendine support remains intact, we anticipate a break of the support to extend towards the 100WMA (1.5960). This requires a decline under 1.60, which would be the first since late November. The negative convergence between the weekly and monthly charts highlights the medium term negative outlook for the pair. We will be targeting initial support at 1.5960, followed by 1.5910, which is just above the 55-WMA and 200-WMA of 1.5870 and 1.5840 respectively."
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USDJPY breaks above the 4-week trendline resistance to hit a 2-week high at 156.80 after Japan PM Takaichi appointed 2 dovish candidates to the 9-member policy board of the Bank of Japan. The candidates are professor Ayano Sato at Aoyama Gakuin University and professor Toichiro Asada of Chuo University. If they're confirmed, then these new members will likely provide material pushback to the BoJ's interest rate hike path, which could further weaken JPY vs major currencies. 2 days ago I reminded our WhatsApp Bdcst Group I was long USDJPY, targetting 156.40. The chart below suggests 157.70s could well be the next target.
Click To Enlarge
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