Searched for: rate [and] cut
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  • Intraday Market Thought: Falling to 11 Percent

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 7, 2026 20:28
    Falling to 11 Percent Chart The odds of a Fed rate cut in January fell from 17% earlier in the....the graphs for expectations of a Fed rate cut for January (Green) and March (White)...., see how the probability of a January rate cut fell from 27% in mid December to 11%..

  • Article: Uncertain December

    by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 24, 2025 13:16
    Odds of 25-bp rate cut dropped to as low as 27% last week,..

  • Hot-Chart: EURGBP Revisited

    by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 16, 2024 18:35
    EURGBP Revisited Chart are now fully pricing a BoE rate cut of of 25-bps in November, while partly....These are not a lot of rate cuts and that is why GBP has retraced..

  • Intraday Market Thought: 3 Qstns for Today's Fed Meeting

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 10, 2025 15:40
    be to today's widely anticipated rate cut... the Dot Plot will forecast 3 or 4 rate cuts...or sounding sceptical about more than 2 rate cuts.

  • Intraday Market Thought: تداول الاحتياطي الفيدرالي FOMC Preview

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 17, 2024 22:49
    will the magnitude of the Fed's rate cut and what are the different ..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Trading USDJPY بيع الإرتفاعات في

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 23, 2024 17:31
    Why USDJPY fell despite the 50-bp rate cut and why it remains a sell-the-bounce..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Trading USDJPY بيع الإرتفاعات في

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 23, 2024 17:31
    Why USDJPY fell despite the 50-bp rate cut and why it remains a sell-the-bounce..

  • Intraday Market Thought: From Final Hike to First Rate Cut مقياس المدة الزمنية من آخر رفعة

    by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 5, 2022 16:04
    From Final Hike to First Rate Cut مقياس المدة الزمنية من آخر رفعة Chart the duration from the final Fed rate hike and the first rate cut.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Powell's Challenge

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 13, 2023 12:55
    Powell's Challenge Chart (fed funds futures) pricing of 4-5 rate cuts in 2024...Fed members' forecasts for FedFunds rate) and the Summary of Economic.... policymakers were pricing about one rate cut for 2024...9%, meaning two rate cuts of 25-bps by end of 2024...currently pricing between four and five rate cuts by end of 2024...0% (two rate cuts) is expected by the consensus of....7% (three to four rate cuts) would be deemed dovish,.... the probability of a 25-bp FedFunds rate change at the March 2024 meeting...% -- indicating a 45% chance of a 25-bp cut-- is much less than the 75% probability..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Staying above 10%

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 4, 2020 16:49
    Staying above 10% Chart -friendly Bernie Sanders, and a 50-bp rate cut from the Bank of Canada...The latter cut rates to 1... in par level with the US Fed funds rate...Chatter of a rate cut from the BoE and easing steps from the..
 
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