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  • Intraday Market Thought: Ray Dalio on Various Topics

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 8, 2020 13:56
    Here are some thoughts by one of the world's most successful macro hedge....Full interview on Reddit.
  • Intraday Market Thought: ECB Pledges, BoC Punts

    by Adam Button | Mar 11, 2021 16:53
    ECB Pledges, BoC Punts Chart The ECB kept the size of its EUR 1...85 trillion pandemic bond buying program, ut pledged to step up government bond....USD resumed its selloff both the DOW and S&P hit new highs, while Nasdaq is....All eyes shift to the 30-year US govt bond auction for clues on foreign demand....Listen to Ashraf's detailed voice note on his Telegram Channel on about....Listen here...nbsp;....The BOC offered few hints about what's coming next while holding rates....There was some speculation they could dial down the bloated QE program but....There's no doubt those forecasts will be better as the BOC acknowledged....CAD initially slumped on no changes to QE but later rallied to finish near the....The risk is that's not enough of yields rise.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Industrial Metals Breaks Out

    by Adam Button | Apr 27, 2021 15:40
    Industrial Metals Breaks Out Chart If copper has a doctorate in economics then the prognosis is very good; it hit....Equally notable is Aussie's underperformance this month...US consumer confidence beat expectations in April...CHF and GBP are the only gainers vs USD in late European trading...Ashraf told the WhatsApp Broadcast Group, to reduce USD exposure ahead of....nbsp;....Copper has consolidated for the past eight weeks but broke out on Monday,....The climb comes on widespread speculation of looming supply shortages....If copper can rally another 8%, it will clear the 2010 high and rise into....There is little debate that the global economy will be strong over the next....Followed by questions about inflation...Monday's US durable goods report was soft with non-defense capital goods....9% compared to 1...8% expected...Despite that, overall orders have risen in 10 of the past 11 months and....nbsp;....Ultimately, it will be consumers and how willing they are to spend pent up..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Non-Farm Payrolls Are Pivotal

    by Adam Button | Jul 1, 2021 12:42
    Non-Farm Payrolls Are Pivotal Chart Few doubt that hiring will be high for the remainder of the year but the pace....ADP employment offered an early look at the state of the jobs market as the Fed....The US dollar was the top performer on Wednesday while the yen lagged...GBP weakness deepened in Europe after BoE's Bailey said policy makers must....Ahead of the OPEC meeting, US crude oil hit $75 for the 1st time since Oct 2018...Jobless claims are next, exp 388K from 411K...The early consensus on non-farm payrolls is 700K job in June...That should firm up after ADP employment rose 692K compared to 600K expected,....Whatever the employment number is on Friday, there is plenty of evidence that....The issue is that workers aren't applying for low paid jobs the way they....Part of the reason is that in much of the country, jobless benefits will....That's allowing workers to be picky in what work they will accept...In addition, families have an incentive to wait until after the summer when....That thinking puts the Fed on a slow path to tapering but it could change if....In particular, the wage indications could convince some FOMC members that....For the dollar, the trade is straightforward around USD/JPY...It's testing the April 2021 highs and not far off the 2020 peak at 112...23...That's followed by a series of annual highs that stretch up to 115...00...Dominos will begin to fall whenever the jobs growth materializes.
  • Intraday Market Thought: US Stimulus Faces Dems Barriers

    by Adam Button | Oct 21, 2021 14:30
    US Stimulus Faces Dems Barriers Chart Democratic leaders are hoping to have an agreement on a framework for a....JPY and CHF are the only currencies gaining vs USD as risk appetite pulls....US Philly dropped to a lower than expected 23...8 from 30...7, while jobless claims dropped to 290K from a revised 296K...Below is Ashraf's estimate for ETH/XAU...Ashraf has released the latest rebalancing of his crypto holdings to....nbsp;....Two reports on Wednesday underscored how difficult it will be for Democrats in....The first report said Sen Machin had mentioned to Biden the possibility of....The story cited anonymous sources but had enough detail to sound credible,....The second report said Sen Sinema had told lobbyists she wouldn't support....That would make paying for the package considerably harder and perhaps doom it...That report was thinner on details and there was no follow up as Sinema rarely....At this point, it's tough to say that a deal is a big factor in market....The reflation trade has sizzled in the past two weeks alongside commodities...There's a strong sense that the infrastructure portion of the deal will....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: 8 Levels, one Conclusion

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 26, 2023 21:09
    8 Levels, one Conclusion Chart Here is a snapshot from Friday's video, containing 1 graph, 8 levels, but....Start watching from 3:11 mins of the video to grasp the full details of the....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: The 3 Faces of 16

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 8, 2023 10:50
    The 3 Faces of 16 Chart As the Bitcoin/Gold Ratio reaches 16...0, it calls up a crucial area, equivalent to two major inflection....What will it be this time? A major inflection barrier? Or an inflection....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: English Translation & Analysis Added to EURUSD video

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 19, 2023 12:40
    With regards to my latest video about EURUSD's 200 WMA breakouts, I've....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Here's Where to Look in Today's CPI

    by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 14, 2023 10:05
    Today's release of the US October CPI consists of 4 main components...Here are the 2 most important parts of the report bond, gold and currency....Start watching from 7:07 minutes of the video below...nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Aussie Top Down Approach

    by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 21, 2023 9:29
    Executing the Top-Down Approach in AUDUSD...The 1st target is close to hitting...So what's next? Start watching from 7:25 mins in below video.