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  • Intraday Market Thought: Video on Post-Fed Gold & USDCAD

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 19, 2017 18:31
    Video on Post-Fed Gold & USDCAD Chart We pick up where I left off last week's gold video following the metal'....We also tackle the USD/CAD pair and the potential for further 2-way price action....Full Video.

  • Intraday Market Thought: See you in New York Next Week

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 1, 2019 18:09
    See you in New York Next Week Chart A few major market events are expected in mid-March...Brexit-related votes, the Fed meeting and the US det ceiling...And don't forget this year's New York Traders' Expo in NYC - March....It's one of the longest running expos on trading around and a great....I strongly encourage you to reserve your free seat, and join me at the ultimate....Full Program...In case you can't make it to NY, here's the link to the Live..

  • Intraday Market Thought: 5 Things on Gold & Yields before more Powell

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 26, 2021 21:20
    5 Things on Gold & Yields before more Powell Chart Friday's plunge in yields was just as notable as the preceding gains...As Fed chair Powell gears to speak next Thursday about the economy, here are the....nbsp;3) Friday's candles in 2 and 10 year yields suggest neutral-negative....4) USDJPY knived through its 200-DMA and its 55-WMA, calling for 107...20 as a short-term target...Our WhatsApp Broadcast Group entered this pair back in 104...60s...nbsp;5) Those who trade indices have seen the balant manner in which the jump....We were active throughout the week with our WhatsApp Broadcast Group (WBG)....Tune in for more next week...This is far from over...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: What if Parliament Votes No?

    by Adam Button | Oct 18, 2019 18:00
    What if Parliament Votes No? Chart Obtaining the required 320 votes to back Saturday's passing of the Brexit....If the deal passes, we expect gaps in cable to as high as 1...3180s...How about if Parliament rejects the deal? Will it depend on the margin of defeat?....More on the necessary numbers in here...As I write this, GBPUSD has spiked 0...3% to 1...2932 on reports that the Brexit deal will be passed tomorrow...لا تفوت هذه الإشارات السبع (فيديو للمشتركين - خاص قبل عطلة نهاية الأسبوع)....Boris Johnson's strategy is to turn Saturday's meaningful Brexit vote....The Benn amendment took away his ability to execute a no-deal Brexit so he has....If he convinces the EU to reject a Brexit extension in case of a "No&....But it's all a bluff...Merkel, Macron and other EU officials have said time and time again that the....Juncker tried to create some ambiguity and it seems to have had some effect on....It's not a choice of this deal or no deal...It's a choice of this deal, or extend...Depending on the extension, there's a chance that elections and 2nd....The DUP appears to believe it can get a better deal...The leadership Thursday said 'this isn't even the beginning of the end&....There is also the question of whether there is time for a legal text and....So what happens next?....In the event of a "No" outcome, an election remains the most-likely....The problem for opposition parties is that it looks like they will lose and....With a larger majority, he could easily pass this deal and may even try to press....Labour has sensed this and they're having second thoughts about pushing for....They were banking on Johnson not being able to get any changes to May's....Instead, he's got a fresh deal and he can now blame Labour and others for....With that, Labour may be shifting strategies towards calling for a new....Corbyn isn't yet comfortable with it but it's more likely than a week....What about the market? A deal failing to get through parliament will weigh on....If there is a dip or a drop, it's likely an opportunity to buy...The important thing this week is not that the DUP is against the deal, but....When it passes is probably only a matter of time...A GBPUSD Premium trade is currently open with supporting charts and notes...The risk is that Labour and the LibDems somehow force a fresh referendum...That would add considerable fresh uncertainty and a deeper dip...But ultimately it's a win-win for the pound in that either the UK stays in......

  • Intraday Market Thought: Heightened Anticipation

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 10, 2021 19:32
    Heightened Anticipation Chart The heightened anticipation ahead of this week's crucial FOMC, BoE and....USDJPY is unable to break above 114, EURUSD rests above 1...12 but is capped at 1...14, while XAUUSD is immobile in the 1770/90 wedge and XAGUSD continue to hold 22...0...Only one FX cross has broken out, which we pointed out to our WhatsApp Broadcast....The idea is to avoid USD-pairs out of aversion to surging volatility/noise/mis-....The chart below shows how the upturn in VVIX/VIX encouraged us to to stay out of....nbsp; Watch the full video on how to use the VVIX/VIX to help anticipate....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: VVIX VIX Inflection

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 29, 2022 12:52
    VVIX VIX Inflection Chart What's the point of using fancy indicators ratios such as the VVIX/VIX....Here's an instructional video on using the VVIX/VIX ratio...Two days ago, I sent the below chart below to our WhatsApp Broadcast Group,....nbsp;....As the WhatsApp snapshot shows, the idea is to observe the higher lows in the....This means the VVF low from this week is higher than the VVE low of mid-March...This is similar to the lows in March and May of 2021, when VVB and VVD coincided....nbsp;....For a detailed overview on how to use the VVIX/VIX, watch this video...Tying the fundamental rationale to the aforementioned thesis, could be....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Intermetals Framework Update

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 18, 2023 16:42
    Intermetals Framework Update Chart During this summer's selloff in gold, we asserted and repeated the reminders....The case of the 2023 gold lows was cleaner and more assuring because it was....The lows of early October 2023 were more dubious as they showed mixed signals:....Another metric that helped was that of the GoldBugs Ratio -- often shared with....So where are we today? Pls read on below...nbsp;....Not only the November trendline support remains intact, but the trendline....Particularly bullish is the breakout of the long term resistance of XME, whose....nbsp;....Looking ahead, the general picture suggests $2500 is a viable possibility....Earlier today we shared 8 key pointers with our WBG each gold trader has to....Some of these are related to the broad nature of FedFunds forecasts by each Fed....Other more absolute elements include the reality that gold has posted its 2nd....Here's another take: Gold went from its 2nd biggest monthly decline in 2....Now imagine how much higher gold would be if bitcoin did not exist.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Previewing Tankan & China’s PMI

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 31, 2015 18:01
    Previewing Tankan & China’s PMI Chart Before previewing tonight's key market-moving date from Asia, namely....Full charts & analysis..

  • Premium: Fragmented Stability in Appetite

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 18, 2016 18:47
    Update: May 18, 2016 21:39 GMT....Extended Corrections go Separate Ways....Long GBPUSD ahead of the FOMC minutes...More details follow in today's video.

  • Intraday Market Thought: G20 Rifts Open, GBP Shorts Hit Record

    by Adam Button | Mar 20, 2017 19:20
    G20 Rifts Open, GBP Shorts Hit Record Chart Headlines from the G20 meetings in Germany showed the new US administration....The first French Presidential debate gets underway this evening, followed by....Sterling fell sharply after UK PM May announced the date of Article 50 kickoff....A new trade will be issued this evening to Premium clients...The best way to look at the G20 is a barometer...Little is ever accomplished at the Summits but the topics of discussion and....Baden-Baden was Mnuchin's first entry onto the world stage...In public comments, he was cordial and only offered small hints on what the....But behind closed doors other leaders hinted at frustration as Trump's....The Communique removed a reference to resisting protectionism and leaders were....After more than 50 days of Trump, we still have little idea on whether he'....The G20 may have been a small signal that it's Option #2...Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR -41K vs -58K prior...JPY -71K vs -54K prior...GBP -107K vs -81K prior...CHF -9K vs -10K prior...AUD +43K vs +51K prior...CAD +21vs +29K prior...NZD -6K vs -4K prior....The net short in cable is the most extreme since records began in 1992...It's been sold heavily from -60K in the final week of February...It's the clearest sign yet that specs are piling into shorts and looking....That's the kind of thing that often blows up in the other direction.
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