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  • Intraday Market Thought: Trump & Johnson Ready for NO-deals

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 12, 2019 14:05
    Trump & Johnson Ready for NO-deals Chart Both Trump and Johnson are threatening (or readying) for a no-deal with China....So two things you need to know if you're trading any of our existing....More below...With regards to Trump, he announced that he's personally blocking a trade....ldquo;It's me right now that's holding up the deal” Trump said....Another important thing that augurs badly for markets: Trump threatened to....The last thing you'd want to do to a Chinese person is to threaten him....For an American leader to hint at humiliating China's head-of-state at....As for Boris Johnson, he unveiled his campaign for PM by saying that a no-deal....Meanwhile, Labour, backed by the LibDems and Scottish National party will set up....If this process advances successfully, all pledges by Tory leadership....The vote on this cross-party motion will he held at about 11:00 Eastern (16:00....GBPUSD tests last week's 3-week high of 1...3763 as it attempt to complete its first back-to-back weekly gain since March...Alot of work is yet needed for sterling bulls, but so far the foundation looks....Our Premium long cable is currently +150 pips in the green.

  • Intraday Market Thought: 3850 11690 31220 and the rest

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 13, 2022 20:03
    3850 11690 31220 and the rest Chart Traders reap the value of intermarket technical/quantitative analysis in....Such levels can be support/resistance in terms of TA, or moves in material....So during Thursday's market carnage (equity indices and cryptos), I sent....It's all about confluence across different asset classes...Here's how...nbsp;....In Thursday's case, as S&P500 fell to 3928, I highlighted 3840/50 as....I added the 11720/50 level for Nasdaq100 as the -30% threshold and 31400 in the....Identifying the levels in these 3 charts served as a warning—even as those....Considering the correlation between cyptos and risk-assets, I highlighted....nbsp;....Towards the end of Thursday's US session, markets sustained a fresh risk-....The levels were in line with the points highlighted in the charts as it was for....The sole exception was gold, which ended up breaking the $1830 trendline and is....nbsp;....As time of writing (Friday 18:50 London time), indices are up more than 3% for....5% for value and are about to deliver the first Up-Friday session since March....The next challenge is where do we mark the top in this bear market rally? ....The term “intermarket analysis” is so widespread to the extent of....15 years ago this month, I began writing “Currency Trading and Intermarket....More on those 12 months in another post...The book had a currency angle, but could have been more effective if it showed....Over the last 10 years, I deepened my involvement in markets, studying and....The above charts illustrate how it's put to use...nbsp;....So how do you trade all of this? ....Become a member of our WhatsApp Broacast Group...nbsp;....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Video on Post-Fed Gold & USDCAD

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 19, 2017 18:31
    Video on Post-Fed Gold & USDCAD Chart We pick up where I left off last week's gold video following the metal'....We also tackle the USD/CAD pair and the potential for further 2-way price action....Full Video.

  • Intraday Market Thought: See you in New York Next Week

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 1, 2019 18:09
    See you in New York Next Week Chart A few major market events are expected in mid-March...Brexit-related votes, the Fed meeting and the US det ceiling...And don't forget this year's New York Traders' Expo in NYC - March....It's one of the longest running expos on trading around and a great....I strongly encourage you to reserve your free seat, and join me at the ultimate....Full Program...In case you can't make it to NY, here's the link to the Live..

  • Intraday Market Thought: 5 Things on Gold & Yields before more Powell

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 26, 2021 21:20
    5 Things on Gold & Yields before more Powell Chart Friday's plunge in yields was just as notable as the preceding gains...As Fed chair Powell gears to speak next Thursday about the economy, here are the....nbsp;3) Friday's candles in 2 and 10 year yields suggest neutral-negative....4) USDJPY knived through its 200-DMA and its 55-WMA, calling for 107...20 as a short-term target...Our WhatsApp Broadcast Group entered this pair back in 104...60s...nbsp;5) Those who trade indices have seen the balant manner in which the jump....We were active throughout the week with our WhatsApp Broadcast Group (WBG)....Tune in for more next week...This is far from over...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: What if Parliament Votes No?

    by Adam Button | Oct 18, 2019 18:00
    What if Parliament Votes No? Chart Obtaining the required 320 votes to back Saturday's passing of the Brexit....If the deal passes, we expect gaps in cable to as high as 1...3180s...How about if Parliament rejects the deal? Will it depend on the margin of defeat?....More on the necessary numbers in here...As I write this, GBPUSD has spiked 0...3% to 1...2932 on reports that the Brexit deal will be passed tomorrow...لا تفوت هذه الإشارات السبع (فيديو للمشتركين - خاص قبل عطلة نهاية الأسبوع)....Boris Johnson's strategy is to turn Saturday's meaningful Brexit vote....The Benn amendment took away his ability to execute a no-deal Brexit so he has....If he convinces the EU to reject a Brexit extension in case of a "No&....But it's all a bluff...Merkel, Macron and other EU officials have said time and time again that the....Juncker tried to create some ambiguity and it seems to have had some effect on....It's not a choice of this deal or no deal...It's a choice of this deal, or extend...Depending on the extension, there's a chance that elections and 2nd....The DUP appears to believe it can get a better deal...The leadership Thursday said 'this isn't even the beginning of the end&....There is also the question of whether there is time for a legal text and....So what happens next?....In the event of a "No" outcome, an election remains the most-likely....The problem for opposition parties is that it looks like they will lose and....With a larger majority, he could easily pass this deal and may even try to press....Labour has sensed this and they're having second thoughts about pushing for....They were banking on Johnson not being able to get any changes to May's....Instead, he's got a fresh deal and he can now blame Labour and others for....With that, Labour may be shifting strategies towards calling for a new....Corbyn isn't yet comfortable with it but it's more likely than a week....What about the market? A deal failing to get through parliament will weigh on....If there is a dip or a drop, it's likely an opportunity to buy...The important thing this week is not that the DUP is against the deal, but....When it passes is probably only a matter of time...A GBPUSD Premium trade is currently open with supporting charts and notes...The risk is that Labour and the LibDems somehow force a fresh referendum...That would add considerable fresh uncertainty and a deeper dip...But ultimately it's a win-win for the pound in that either the UK stays in......

  • Intraday Market Thought: Heightened Anticipation

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 10, 2021 19:32
    Heightened Anticipation Chart The heightened anticipation ahead of this week's crucial FOMC, BoE and....USDJPY is unable to break above 114, EURUSD rests above 1...12 but is capped at 1...14, while XAUUSD is immobile in the 1770/90 wedge and XAGUSD continue to hold 22...0...Only one FX cross has broken out, which we pointed out to our WhatsApp Broadcast....The idea is to avoid USD-pairs out of aversion to surging volatility/noise/mis-....The chart below shows how the upturn in VVIX/VIX encouraged us to to stay out of....nbsp; Watch the full video on how to use the VVIX/VIX to help anticipate....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: VVIX VIX Inflection

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 29, 2022 12:52
    VVIX VIX Inflection Chart What's the point of using fancy indicators ratios such as the VVIX/VIX....Here's an instructional video on using the VVIX/VIX ratio...Two days ago, I sent the below chart below to our WhatsApp Broadcast Group,....nbsp;....As the WhatsApp snapshot shows, the idea is to observe the higher lows in the....This means the VVF low from this week is higher than the VVE low of mid-March...This is similar to the lows in March and May of 2021, when VVB and VVD coincided....nbsp;....For a detailed overview on how to use the VVIX/VIX, watch this video...Tying the fundamental rationale to the aforementioned thesis, could be....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Intermetals Framework Update

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 18, 2023 16:42
    Intermetals Framework Update Chart During this summer's selloff in gold, we asserted and repeated the reminders....The case of the 2023 gold lows was cleaner and more assuring because it was....The lows of early October 2023 were more dubious as they showed mixed signals:....Another metric that helped was that of the GoldBugs Ratio -- often shared with....So where are we today? Pls read on below...nbsp;....Not only the November trendline support remains intact, but the trendline....Particularly bullish is the breakout of the long term resistance of XME, whose....nbsp;....Looking ahead, the general picture suggests $2500 is a viable possibility....Earlier today we shared 8 key pointers with our WBG each gold trader has to....Some of these are related to the broad nature of FedFunds forecasts by each Fed....Other more absolute elements include the reality that gold has posted its 2nd....Here's another take: Gold went from its 2nd biggest monthly decline in 2....Now imagine how much higher gold would be if bitcoin did not exist.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Previewing Tankan & China’s PMI

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 31, 2015 18:01
    Previewing Tankan & China’s PMI Chart Before previewing tonight's key market-moving date from Asia, namely....Full charts & analysis..
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