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Results: 211 to 220 of 1,000
Results: 211 to 220 of 1,000
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Intraday Market Thought: Exuberant Demands?
by Adam Button | Aug 21, 2019 1:04
There's a mismatch between financial markets's expectations and....The yen and Swiss franc were the top performers Tuesday while the US dollar....The FOMC minutes from the Jul 31 rate hike are due up at 7 pm London...For a reminder of what the Fed said and reasoned on that day, please read on....Both of the Premium English and Arabic videos were part of one single video....Financial markets increasingly expect fiscal and monetary policymakers to....It's a paradigm that plays out repeatedly during periods of economic....Two big tests of whether we've come that far are coming up...The first test will be this evening's release of Fed minutes from the July....These will undoubtedly skew hawkishly because they were taken before the....They will also reflect Powell's assertions that the domestic economy is....To recall what the FOMC did, Powell said and how markets reacted on Jul 31st,....The second test will offer a current take as Powell delivers his Jackson Hole....The market will demand a chance in tone from Powell's July 31 press....On Tuesday, SF Fed President Daly (not a voter at this year's FOMC) said she....At the same time, fiscal hopes are also precarious...The lack of enthusiasm for US tax cut talk underscores how difficult it will....In Italy, a snap election would risk an automatic VAT hike...The UK is a prime candidate for some fiscal help but is essentially paralyzed....Canada also faces an October vote.
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Intraday Market Thought: Saudi Strike Upends More Than Oil
by Adam Button | Sep 16, 2019 11:55
Oil prices are up 8%, paring earlier gains of nearly 20% seen at the Asia....The price spike signalled geopolitical worries rather than a loss of production...The chart below shows the attack caused the biggest supply disruption in history,....JPY and CAD are today's FX winners, but gold and silver are up against all....The Empire Fed (ISM from NY Fed) is due later, but world markets remain fixated....Do not forget Tuesday's UK Supreme Court ruling on whether PM Johnson's....Then, all eyes shift to Wednesday's Fed decision and Trump's reactions...The Premium oil short was stopped out, leaving two existing trades in progress...New tactical Premium trades will be issued over the next two days...Japanese markets were closed to start the week but that did nothing to stop a....Brent rose as much as $11...70 to hit $71...95 – the highest since late-May...WTI hit $63...54...Dow and S&P futures were down by as much as 200 and 25 pts respectively....The attacks cut Saudi production roughly in half, taking 5...7 million barrels per day out of service...Videos of the facilities showed massive fires and report said it will take....At the same time, some (if not most) of the production could be restored within....Given ample supplies and reserves globally – including large amounts....Instead, it's the geopolitical risk that goes along with the attacks, as....Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed responsibility for the attack, and if....The US, however, insisted on blaming Iran, which could lead to US and Saudi....US Secretary of State Pompeo openly pointed the finger at Tehran, but so far....If he does, it may signify an imminent reprisal...So far he has said the US is 'locked and loaded' for a response but....In FX, the Canadian dollar is the early leader with the yen and Swiss franc both....The US dollar is generally stable elsewhere...It also adds a wrinkle to Fed thinking...Higher gasoline prices are undoubtedly inflationary but the attacks add a....There are still some final data points for the FOMC to consider as well,....The consensus is for a +4...0 reading.
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Intraday Market Thought: Do not Look at this, if Short GBP
by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 16, 2019 15:19
Here's the latest on UK yield spreads with the US...Full analysis and charts.
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Intraday Market Thought: MidEast Tests Risk Appetite Foundation
by Adam Button | Jan 6, 2020 16:30
Markets absorb earlier earlier losses from the escalation of MidEast clashes...Iran said it will no longer observe limits on uranium enrichment and Iraq....JPY is the biggest loser, lifting USDJPY to 108...30s from 107...70s, while GBP is the biggest gainer, following UK services PMI's return....US services PMI edged higher, with all eyes on the services ISM tomorrow...Don't forget US and Canada jobs this Friday...The Iran-US confrontation is in a deep state of flux, and is increasingly....Iraqi parliament on Sunday voted on a resolution demanding foreign troops to....In the holy city of Qom a red flag was unfurled on the Great mosque of Jamkaran....Trump warned that the US had identified 52 Iranian targets if Iran launches an....At presentm it appears like a retaliation from Iran is imminent, but....There remains little appetite for war, and US forces wildly exceed any others....Tensions can dissipate quickly...200 MAs in High Yielders....Keep an eye on the 200 DMAs in AUDUSD and NZDUSD...We said last week, the technical breakouts above those levels reflected....But as the latest risk aversion force high yielders lower, the 200 DMAs for....6895 and 0...6520 respectively.
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Intraday Market Thought: Low Key Powell, High Gear Appetite
by Adam Button | Feb 12, 2020 14:20
USD resumes pullback as yields recover and stocks rip higher after Fed Chair....China reported the lowest number of Coronavirus cases in over 2 weeks...nbsp; NZD leads the pack after the RBNZ surprisingly shut the door on 2020 rate....Yesterday's Premium trade is 50 pips in the green, while the below is the....Fed Chair Powell said there will likely be some impacts on the US from the virus....Odds for a September rate cut have fallen to 64% from 87% 2 weeks ago...But Cryptos continue to rally across the board as the snapshot shows below...nbsp;....The stock market continued to vote otherwise with the S&P 500 hitting a....Treasury yields rose 3 basis points across the curve and the modest strength....The euro touched a new low for the year but support at the September low of 1...0879 has held for far...If the strength in the US dollar continues, that's a major pivot....04...Get these Intraday Market Thoughts in your mailbox Start now.
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Intraday Market Thought: Bouncing Appetite after Gilead Flub
by Adam Button | Apr 24, 2020 16:07
Risk risk appetite re-emerges on a combination of US Covid-19 infections....The news helped offset a selloff late Thursday following an FT report....Our Dow30 trade was stopped out, leaving 5 trades open...Weak UK retail sales (-5%) and poor US durable goods figures (-14) earlier were....A series of soft Eurozone PMIs were capped by an indecisive European summit....The eurozone services PMI was just 11...7 compared to 22...8 expected and you would hope that would send a strong message to European....If ever there was time for fast action, it's now...The eurozone structure is so slow-moving that another summit ended with....There's talk it could take until 2021 until there's a broad eurozone....EURUSD remains somewhat buffered by broad US dollar weakness, attempting to....Also not a potential double top on the daily USDX.
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Intraday Market Thought: A Change in the Game but Not a Game-Changer
by Adam Button | Aug 28, 2020 15:00
The choppy, indecisive move in most markets Thursday after the Fed shift to....The Australian dollar and the Japanese yen are the strongest, with the latter....nbsp;....It's likely that the simple explanation of the FOMC paradigm shift....Yields rose, equities where higher and AUD/JPY was the best performer in a....Yen turned later on Abe's resignation...nbsp;That points to a return of the pre-pandemic risk trade and additional news....In the longer-term, it raises a series of risks and more questions about the....That could spark a negative feedback loop but it's too early to declare....It's a spot to watch in September...In FX, the series of doji stars in EUR/USD, GBP/USD and other crosses speak to....Ultimately, economic strength will matter and with that we will continue to....On Thursday, US initial jobless claims were once again above 1m...On Friday, the US July PCE report is expected to show a 1...5% rise in personal consumption...Watch inflationary numbers too for a sign of surprise...Anything on the upside could spark a bigger move in yields and USD/JPY...nbsp;..
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Intraday Market Thought: FX Shrugs, Indices Shaken
by Adam Button | Sep 18, 2020 18:53
Risk aversion syrokes again...Whether it's the surge in Covid19 cases in the US, France, or lockdowns in....Premium members who are part of the WhatsApp Broadcast group had a series of....وتفضلوا ببعض مستدجدت نصائح...اشرف العايدي لاعضاء مجموعة الواتساب في الصورة ادانه بالعربي تحت الصورة....The strikes against the US dollar are adding up...Thursday's risk aversion produced a dollar bid for a time but it faded in....It begs the question: If the dollar can't rally on a day like that, when....The economic data was mixed once again...Initial jobless claims were a touch higher than estimates while continuing....Housing starts fell 5...1% in a rare miss on the red hot real estate market while the Philly Fed was....0...Data has been more up-and-down in the past few weeks after months of....That run of data sent the Citi economic surprise index to the highest ever but....We may now be seeing what happens when economists (and markets) finally get a....nbsp;..
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Intraday Market Thought: VVIX & VIX for Indices إستعمال مؤشر الفيكس للتداول
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 3, 2021 21:04
In answering last week's Mystery Chart, we explain how to use VVIX/VIX....nbsp; Full video إستعمال مؤشر الفيكس ومشتقاته للتداول..
