Searched for:
Results: 241 to 250 of 1,000
1...181920212223242526272829303132...100

  • Intraday Market Thought: Markets can no longer wait

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 24, 2017 15:36
    Markets can no longer wait Chart Much has been said and promised by president Trump and French Independent....Now it's time for details...nbsp; In the case of the US, the Fed has become not only increasingly tight-....In addition to Friday's Yellen/Fischer speeches, look out for Tuesday&....Super Trump Tuesday: Markets will shift attention to next Tuesday's Trump&....The implications for labour costs, consumer prices and the budget deficit....In the case of France (& euro), Macron has climbed in the polls to the....nbsp; France-German spreads starting to matter to the extent that they have....This has several implications: i) Forcing the ECB to carry out asymmetric....ii) As the 10-year France-Germany spread hits 5-year highs, the euro is unable....23 days after we issued our SILVER long, backed by 6 factors, we have just..

  • Intraday Market Thought: 2 Year vs FedFunds Signal

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 13, 2023 20:23
    2 Year vs FedFunds Signal Chart What will happen to markets in case Feb CPI rises well over expectations? What....0% y/y and 0...4% m/m ? The SVB implosion has eliminated odds of a 50-bp Fed hike,....Even odds of a 25-bp hike (not 50bp) are now below 60%....The chart on the left shows the straightforward relationship between....But let's dig deep on the right-hand chart, plotting the FedFunds rate....In a matter of 4 days, US 2-year yields have gone from hitting 16-year highs to....The 4...09% print is 0...66 below the Fed Funds rate—a level at which the Fed Funds rate had....This is highlighted in the chart as Aug 2007 and June 2019...nbsp;....What's the rationale for this development? In absolute terms (not....So when 10-year yields fell below their 2-year and 3-month counterparts last....During that time, however, both 2-year and 3-month yields (t-bills) were on the....And as we know, 2-yr yields hit a 15-year high early last week...So just a reminder: Yield curve inversions usually precede rate cuts by....Finally this week, both 2-year and 3-month yields registered a sharp decline,....The rise in US unemployment and slowdown in average hourly earnings in Friday&....When it rains, it pours -- “Risk happens fast” as the market saying....If Tuesday's release of the Feb CPI comes in at or below 6...0%, then gold could easily regain $1960...This also depends on what the m/m reading does...There are various permutations from the CPI release, paving the way for a $30-40....What if CPI rises above 6...5% y/y? I would say stocks will generally bear the worst of such outcome,....nbsp;....Meanwhile, our WhatsApp Broadcast Group does not waste time...5-7 seconds after the CPI release, members will get a voice note with my....Good luck...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Finally Gold ETFs Flows Do this

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 17, 2023 17:00
    Finally Gold ETFs Flows Do this Chart It's probably no coincidence that gold is staging its biggest weekly gain....Regardless of whether the FDIC will make all depositors whole, all US banks will....Even the biggest/most profitable US banks will struggle, forcing a faster....So what do you have to learn from the chart below?....The top panel shows the daily percentage change of inflows in Gold ETFs, with....As you can see, inflows are finally ticking higher for the first time since....Unlike in the previous three phases of rising gold (1, 2 & 3) the latest 8....In each of phases 1, 2 and 3 gold managed to rally despite ongoing....Today, the combination of the biggest 2-week decline in US-10 year yields since....You know when you try to find out the year's best performing commodity and....6%, only behind Iron ore (+11%) and coffee (9%....All energy commodities are in the red for the year, while copper and silver....nbsp; We're only 17th of March, 5 days away from a Federal Reserve....Not to mention, a press conference, where Jay Powell will have to explain....nbsp;....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: First Republic, Debt Ceiling, CDS & Bitcoin

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 26, 2023 14:42
    Bitcoin's status as the best candidate for replacin fractional reserve baking....FR's latest bleed is captured in Wednesday's pre-market action (chart....Meanwhile, the ongoing bipartisan impasse over the US debt ceiling....No, we will not need to post a gold chart, showing rapid gains, but you can....But you can bet that odds of post-May Fed tightening are increasingly inverse....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold, USD & Bitcoin Combo

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jun 22, 2023 20:43
    Gold, USD & Bitcoin Combo Chart Both DXY and XAUUSD are down by more than 2% this month...The last time this happened, was in November 2020-- when the US presidential....But something else is happening alongside DXY & XAUUSD that last....Here's the full analysis and permutations and what it means ahead...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf in Madrid's Crypto/Forex Summit Friday & Saturday

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 4, 2023 11:58
    Ashraf in Madrid's Crypto/Forex Summit Friday & Saturday Chart I hope to see you in Madrid for this week's upcoming Crypto-Forex Summit....I will be presenting on Friday and participating in a Saturday panel...Find out more below for your promo pass/code...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: My August Talks at Vegas Expo

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 17, 2023 14:24
    My August Talks at Vegas Expo Chart It's time to meet in Las Vegas, where I will be speaking in 3 occasions....8-10, 2023...It's going to be an comprehensive, interactive, educational, and enjoyable....I'm also excited to save you $50 in the process...For one thing, MoneyShow is creating an intimate, exclusive environment that....frequent networking opportunities with fellow high-net-worth investors...and an abundance of wealth-building keynote presentations, lively panel....nbsp; For another, they've assembled a sterling line up of accomplished....I will be presenting my latest market analysis and advice alongside dozens of....There's more below...You'll also enjoy top-quality food, drink, and entertainment during the....And you'll be housed at the Paris Las Vegas, a “home base”....Here is my event schedule:....Reading the Intermarket Signals from Metals and Yields Pertaining to Indices....Thursday, August 10, 2023 | 8:25 am - 8:45 am PDT...The Global Value Hunt: 3 Best Ideas from 3 Top Experts...Thursday, August 10, 2023 | 9:30 am - 10:00 am PDT...Using the Gold-Silver Ratio in FX...Thursday, August 10, 2023 | 1:30 pm - 2:15 pm PDT...I've also set aside a discounted Symposium pass in your name...It will cost just $149 – a savings of $50 off the standard price!....You can claim your discounted pass by clicking here...Or simply call the MoneyShow team at 1-800-970-4355 and tell them you are a....I look forward to seeing you in Las Vegas this summer...Sincerely,....Ashraf Laidi...Founder, Intermarket Strategy Ltd, and AshrafLaidi...com...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: دليل المتداول لإستيعاب بيان التضخم الان

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 13, 2023 2:51
    دليل المتداول لإستيعاب بيان التضخم الان Chart ما يجب ان يعرفه متداولين الذهب و المؤشرات و العملات قبل بيان التضخم....What to watch for in today's CPI? English Translation is obtained via..

  • Intraday Market Thought: What's a Currency Half Life نِصف عُمر العملة؟ ما هو؟ و لماذا يحدث؟

    by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 16, 2023 10:22
    What's a Currency Half Life نِصف عُمر العملة؟ ما هو؟ و لماذا يحدث؟ Chart What's a half life of a currency? Explanation below نِصف عُمر العملة؟ ما....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: See you Saturday at London Trade Show

    by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 20, 2023 18:05
    See you Saturday at London Trade Show Chart Just in case you miss my presentation and panel discussion at tomorrow's....More details here)....nbsp;..
1...181920212223242526272829303132...100