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  • Hot-Chart: Aussie View

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 3, 2024 17:14
    The Australian dollar is the 3rd highest performing currency in the G10 so far....Following stronger than expected Aussie retail sales overnight and today's....The DAILY chart (on the right) shows a sharpp break of the trendline....As long as AUDUSD closes the day above 6710, the path remains clear for the....Tomorrow is a holiday in the US, but Friday will release the latest NFP/....This would especially be the case if US 10 yr yields drop below 4...24/25%....nbsp;..
  • Hot-Chart: Aussie View

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 3, 2024 17:14
    The Australian dollar is the 3rd highest performing currency in the G10 so far....Following stronger than expected Aussie retail sales overnight and today's....The DAILY chart (on the right) shows a sharpp break of the trendline....As long as AUDUSD closes the day above 6710, the path remains clear for the....Tomorrow is a holiday in the US, but Friday will release the latest NFP/....This would especially be the case if US 10 yr yields drop below 4...24/25%....nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: لاحظوا بان في اخر فيديو اشرت الى

    by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 14, 2024 12:15
    لاحظوا بان في اخر فيديو اشرت الى  Chart لاحظوا بان في اخر فيديو اشرت الى السيناريو الإيجابي للذهب (في حالة مفاجأة....ما يجب ان يعرفه متداولين الذهب و المؤشرات و العملات قبل بيان التضخم....Brief Trading Preview for today's US CPI report...nbsp;..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Talk and Technicals

    by Adam Button | Jan 25, 2017 0:07
    Talk and Technicals Chart Fundamentals and central bankers matter less than ever in the day to day of the....They will dominate again in the future but for now, something else is driving....The Canadian dollar was the top performer on Tuesday while the yen....Australian CPI is due up next...كيفية اقتراب صفقات الدولار و اليورو، و الين و الاسترليني (فيديو للمشتركين فقط)....It's mostly about politics now...The ebb and flow of Trump and Brexit are driving the day-to-day and intraday....It's a tricky trade because it's not necessarily about the headlines....It's more about the sentiment and confidence...Market currently are trying to figure out if Trump can govern effectively, or....The first weekend of the administration was a bit of a mess but the past two....It shined through Tuesday with the S&P 500 hitting a record high and USD/JPY....In Britain, it's a different paradigm but the market wanted to see....Her speech last week showed she was willing to use taxes as leverage and....That takes us back to trading...Alone, it's very tough to trade on political sentiment because it's not....Instead it's an ebb and flow that shifts with perception and in more....That's why combining it with technicals is critical at the moment...There is no data-driven confirmation, it's all in the charts, breakouts and....nbsp; Cable is showing some positive signs and the Australian dollar is in....nbsp;....That said, we won't take our eye off of fundamentals either because,....Up next is the 0030 GMT report on Australian CPI...The market hasn't heard much from Australia so far this year as the....The weak jobs report was brushed off but inflation could have a more lasting....The consensus is for a 0...7% q/q rise and 1...6% y/y...Watch the trimmed mean, which is expected up 1...6% y/y.
  • Intraday Market Thought: USDJPY Advances on Diplomacy 101

    by Adam Button | Feb 12, 2017 23:47
    USDJPY Advances on Diplomacy 101 Chart At its core, 21st century politics is the art of making people like you...What's now clear after Abe traveled to meet the US President is that he is....On the strength of Abe's US charm offensive, the yen opened lower to start....15...nbsp; We look at what that says about the future of politics and trading...CFTC positioning data showed a fifth week of dollar selling...All 3 USD Premium trades are currently in the green, one of which will be....For most of the past 30 years diplomacy was less-consequential...There were minor benefits when a leaders liked one another but the globalized....That's changing as Trump and populism reshuffle the deck...Abe's performance and the market reaction to start the week shows that....USD/JPY opened the week 50 pips higher...It's clear the Japanese leader had a plan ready ahead for a Trump victory...He quickly traveled to New York with the gift of a gold-plated golf club,....He then found a way to get to the front of the line in terms of official visits...The two were all smiles during the two-day meeting and Abe achieved all his....He drew US support for Japanese control of the Senkaku Islands and turned Trump&....That's a big win for Japan and surely a few other world leaders will....Theresa May tried pulled off a similar coup...The performance and Trump's warm reception of a major exporting....As Australia's Turnbull already discovered, he can be petty and quick-....In the weeks ahead, we will be watching how he interacts with leaders from China,....Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR -45K vs -46K prior...JPY -55K vs -58K prior...GBP -64K vs -62K prior...CHF -14K vs -17K prior...AUD +17K vs +12K prior...CAD +4...7K vs +3K prior...NZD -2K vs -1K prior....The Australian dollar is beginning to get some traction in the speculative....The RBA is firmly on the sidelines...More broadly, the moves were small on the week but continuing the 2017 theme..
  • Intraday Market Thought: One-Off Hits vs Lasting Impacts

    by Adam Button | Jan 31, 2020 18:10
    One-Off Hits vs Lasting Impacts Chart Markets deepen their losses on traders' reluctance to hold on to gains ahead....Ashraf tells me to watch the 3202/05 support on the SPX = 55-DMA, a level....If you thought today's market fall was ugly, then how bad would it have....The market is struggling to price in what's happening in China...There was a clear effort Thursday to 'buy the fact' as the WHO declared....One main reason for the initial rally (in addition to the Amazon earnings) was....Markets care about travel, transportation and demand but known....nbsp; It's been a strong month all-round for USD except against CHF, but....nbsp; A new trade was issued yesterday evening backed by 4 charts...Wednesday's DOW30 short hit its final target at 28290 for 520 pt gain....And what about the yield curve...2 out of the main 4 measures are inverted...In the big picture, it's important right now to emphasize the difference....Right now, the market is treating coronavirus as a one-off event...So whether it curbs Chinese growth by 1 percentage point this year or 5....It's like an 'ex-items' line in an earnings report or an unscheduled....Eventually it's fixed and the business gets right back on track...The equity market is powerful for pricing past those kinds of events, and....Other events can be lasting, structural changes...One of them is an increasingly clear stance at the Federal Reserve indicating....Powell said Wednesday that they're “determined to avoid” the....That's led to a growing belief the Fed will institutionalize that kind of....The result is lower rates overall for the foreseeable future via inflation....Another example is the 5% deficit-to-GDP numbers in the US....A few years ago, we might have expect some path to a balanced budget –....Eventually the bill will need to be paid but Japan has shown you can push that....They said last week it may be more than bulls versus bears -- this might be a....The thing is, those one-off items can expose other faults...You see that time and time again in the stock market where some bad revelation....So aside from the coronavirus risk itself, there's the chance it....Path of 2-week Incubation Period....Next week should be key regarding the spread of the Corona virus...Since we know that the incubation period is 14 days and that Wuhan had been....If that is not the case, then the ominuous conclusion is that either the....The charts below (not fully revealed) make up the rationale for Thursday's....The trade is already in the green alongside all of the existing 7 Premium..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf's Webinar Tonight

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 24, 2015 10:40
    Ashraf's webinar on currencies and indices starts at 20:00 GMT, covering....nbsp; Sign up here ..
  • Premium: CAD Ahead of BoC

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 3, 2015 13:00
    Update: Mar 6, 2015 19:17 GMT....Issuing a new short on EURJPY with 2 charts as prolonged equity declines will....Update: Mar 6, 2015 13:18 GMT....Shorting EURUAUD with 2 charts showing the deteriorating monthyly charts...Sticking with USDCAD short...Update: Mar 4, 2015 14:46 GMT....We issue a short GBPCAD ahead of the Bank of Canada decision, aimed at....This trade is designed for those with longs in cable...nbsp; AUDNZD shorts and USDCAD shorts remain preferred, guided by rally in....We issue a new note reinforcing our existing shorts in USDCAD with 3 new..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Tonight's Ashraf Webinar

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 2, 2015 17:39
    Ashraf's webinar ahead of the key NFP report will coincide w/tonight's....nbsp; Webinar starts at 16:30 Eastern Time, 21:30 London time/BST...Register..
  • Intraday Market Thought: USD soars on quadruple data surprise

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 26, 2015 17:29
    If Friday's release of US April CPI showing core inflation at an unexpected....Full charts & analysis here.