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  • Intraday Market Thought: Euro's Latest Tug of War & S&P500's Tech Rebound

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 4, 2011 13:42
    Euro eneters a new tug of war, this time between expectations of an ECB rate....Bringing on new trades for EURUSD, EURJPY, S&P500, FTSE-100, Silver, with....Key Daily & Weekly Charts in EURUSD & S&P500 shed light on the technical picture....DIRECT ACCESS http://www...ashraflaidi...com/products/sub01/access/?a=450....NON-PREMIUM Members Join here: http://www...ashraflaidi...com/products/sub01/..
  • Media: Ashraf Laidi 's $1.29 EURUSD Call on CNBC - Forex, Debt

    by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 3, 2011 2:09
  • Intraday Market Thought: Yellen Autopilot Extends Hammer Candles

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 11, 2014 17:07
    Yellen Autopilot Extends Hammer Candles  Chart Yellen's testimony  signals that further tapering remains part and....Yields, yen crosses and equity indices follow up on last week's hammer....Full charts & analysis..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Yields' Fake Rally

    by Ashraf Laidi | Oct 16, 2014 19:26
    Yields' Fake Rally Chart You know there's something inherently wrong with markets when each....Today's remarks fron St Louis Fed's Jim Bullard suggesting the Fed....Greek spreads are back and the yields dwontrend remains intact...Full charts & analysis.
  • Intraday Market Thought: It's China's turn

    by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 12, 2015 12:32
    It's China's turn Chart Devaluing currencies from the US to Japan, Eurozone and China...Although Japan started zero interest rate policy back in the mid-1990s, for a....Fed in 2009....The Fed's ZIRP began in December 1998, before heading off QE in March....As a result, the US dollar index fell more than 18% on two occasions; in 2009....Japan in 2012....Japan finally succeeded in combatting yen strength by voting in a new Prime....Thanks to two waves of QE in 2013 and 2014, the Bank of Japan's asset....The result was a 32% decline in yen's trade-weighted index and a 60% plunge....Eurozone in 2015....In March 2015, the European Central Bank inaugurated a full scale €1...1tn QE program, at the tune of €60...0 bn in monthly purchases of public and private sector assets until September....The program aimed primarily at reversing deflation and easing financial....China in 2015....This week, the China reported the 9th consecutive monthly decline in imports....With most business surveys indicating a contraction, China's economic....nbsp;After weakening the yuan by nearly 3% earlier in the year, the People's....nbsp;But the rising dollar made things worse...Yesterday's yuan 1...9% devaluation and today's subsequent 1...5% decline means that 5% depreciation is inevitable...Any devaluation greater than 7%-10% would be a serious threat for global....Let's not forget the CNY appreciated 11% after the 2008-9 crises and that it....A CNY decline of such magnitude could occur if China mismanages the balance....Another risk to such balance would be renewed Chinese data disappointments and....The likelihood of all this materializing is about 40%....Yuan manipulation?....With regards to accusations against China continuing to manipulate its....This is no longer 2005 or 2006, when minimal revaluations were dwarfed by....The currency may not fully function according to perfect market forces, but....During that time, China GDP slowed from 10% to 7%, exports fell from a rate of....The IMF and most economists deem the  yuan to be overvalued against the..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Why has Druckenmiller Dived in Gold & Copper

    by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 17, 2015 2:49
    Why has Druckenmiller Dived in Gold & Copper Chart Four weeks after gold tumbled to 5-year lows on revelation of far lower Chinese....He also loaded up on 2 large miners...Stan Druckenmiller's family office, Duquesne Capital Management, bought 2...9 mn shares of SPDR Gold Trust's GLD ETF, worth $323...6 million at the end of June, according to the Securities and Exchange....Duquesne's gold ETF purchase bumped the fund's Facebook holdings off the....47 bn fund...nbsp;  ....Druckenmiller acted as George Soros' chief strategist when he helped....Since its inception in 1986, Duquesne has had an average return of 30% per....nbsp; In early May, Druckenmiller told Bloomberg in May that interest rates....nbsp;....Druckenmiller vs Paulson....Despite the scale and timing of Druckenmiller's gold position, it....The fact that Druckenmiller has also purchased 1...28 mn shares of gold miner Newmont Mining and 3...6 mn shares of copper giant Freeport-McMorcan in the same quarter could....In contrast to Druckenmiller, John Paulson, the biggest holder of the GLD....While Paulson is the biggest owner of GLD, accounting 4% of the ETF, the fund....More importantly, Paulson's gold selling is a result of forced....As John Paulson is quietly planning an exit out of his gold holdings,..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf's London Seminar this Saturday

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 22, 2016 13:56
    Ashraf's London seminar at XTB's Trading Masterclass on Saturday, Feb 27...You are invited to attend Ashraf's speech at XTB's London headquarters....Ashraf will join a special guest speakers to share his experience on....An interactive Q&A session will follow...At XTB's Trading Masterclass, you will:....Engage in an interactive Q&A session with professional traders...See expert investors analysing markets in real-time...Learn how to apply multiple time-frames of analysis to your strategies...To reserve your place, please click here.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold & USDJPY Eye 76.4%

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 23, 2016 17:14
    Gold & USDJPY Eye 76.4% Chart As gold and USD/JPY near their 76...4% retracement, questions about their similarity and differences resurface...Gold's 76...4% retracement of the rise from the December 2015 lows to the July 2016....50...Historic 76%....Over the last 15 years, never has gold retraced more than 76...4% of a major rally or decline of 25% or more...Similarly, USD/JPY has never retraced more than 76...4% of a major rally or decline of 25% or more...The definition of “major” means that the move begins from a multi-....Does this mean that gold is near the low and USDJPY is approaching its peak?....A new note on gold and USDJPY has been issued to susbcribers alongside this..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Germany Steps Forward, US Steps Back

    by Adam Button | Jan 22, 2018 10:47
    Germany Steps Forward, US Steps Back Chart The German SPD voted to enter coalition talks with Merkel's Christian....The US dollar, meanwhile, is under pressure after Republicans and Democrats....CFTC positioning data showed euro longs easing from their record high...The euro gapped +50 pips higher to 1...2270s at the weekly open as Merkel aims to end the uncertainty in German....There is no guarantee of a deal but the SPD delegates voted 362-279 to enter....The news isn't a big surprise and shouldn't be a lasting factor but it&....It's just the opposite in the US where Congress delivered a self-....The US dollar is softer across the board early but expect the market to take it....The previous shutdown lasted 16 days and markets shrugged off the effects...nbsp;....CFTC Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR +139K vs +145K prior...GBP +26K vs +26K prior...JPY -119K vs -126K prior...CAD +18K vs +17K prior...CHF -21K vs -22K prior...AUD +10K vs -5K prior...NZD -8K vs -11K prior....The market is reluctant to embrace cable longs...Despite the impressive run lately, the looming risk of negative Brexit....Euro longs edged back from record extremes but overall moves were small.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Calm Returns, Where to Watch

    by Adam Button | Feb 13, 2018 13:26
     Calm Returns, Where to Watch Chart Just as bloogers and analysts began writing about Monday's sharp market....One relationship that's increasingly taking hold is the inverse relation....Interestingly, USD remained weak despite the overnight sell-off in Tokyo and....JPY, EUR and CHF are the strongest, while GBP backs off its highs following....120 pip gain was locked in the  EURUSD trade...إلى أين الارتداد؟ (فيديو للمشتركين)....One clue on whether Monday's bounce will last was in the announcement of a....It surely faces a tough test in Congress but it highlights the administrations....It came along with fresh White House projections which are undoubtedly....With the potential for more stimulus in the pipeline and continued high military....US 10-year yields ticked another basis point higher Monday to 2...86% and as high as 2...89%....There is a sudden focus on borrowing levels and it seems almost inevitably....A pair of big drivers towards or away from that level is likely on Wednesday..