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Results: 661 to 670 of 1,000
Results: 661 to 670 of 1,000
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Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf's London Seminar this Saturday
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 22, 2016 13:56Ashraf's London seminar at XTB's Trading Masterclass on Saturday, Feb 27...You are invited to attend Ashraf's speech at XTB's London headquarters....Ashraf will join a special guest speakers to share his experience on....An interactive Q&A session will follow...At XTB's Trading Masterclass, you will:....Engage in an interactive Q&A session with professional traders...See expert investors analysing markets in real-time...Learn how to apply multiple time-frames of analysis to your strategies...To reserve your place, please click here. -
Intraday Market Thought: Gold & USDJPY Eye 76.4%
by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 23, 2016 17:14
As gold and USD/JPY near their 76...4% retracement, questions about their similarity and differences resurface...Gold's 76...4% retracement of the rise from the December 2015 lows to the July 2016....50...Historic 76%....Over the last 15 years, never has gold retraced more than 76...4% of a major rally or decline of 25% or more...Similarly, USD/JPY has never retraced more than 76...4% of a major rally or decline of 25% or more...The definition of “major” means that the move begins from a multi-....Does this mean that gold is near the low and USDJPY is approaching its peak?....A new note on gold and USDJPY has been issued to susbcribers alongside this..
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Intraday Market Thought: Germany Steps Forward, US Steps Back
by Adam Button | Jan 22, 2018 10:47
The German SPD voted to enter coalition talks with Merkel's Christian....The US dollar, meanwhile, is under pressure after Republicans and Democrats....CFTC positioning data showed euro longs easing from their record high...The euro gapped +50 pips higher to 1...2270s at the weekly open as Merkel aims to end the uncertainty in German....There is no guarantee of a deal but the SPD delegates voted 362-279 to enter....The news isn't a big surprise and shouldn't be a lasting factor but it&....It's just the opposite in the US where Congress delivered a self-....The US dollar is softer across the board early but expect the market to take it....The previous shutdown lasted 16 days and markets shrugged off the effects...nbsp;....CFTC Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR +139K vs +145K prior...GBP +26K vs +26K prior...JPY -119K vs -126K prior...CAD +18K vs +17K prior...CHF -21K vs -22K prior...AUD +10K vs -5K prior...NZD -8K vs -11K prior....The market is reluctant to embrace cable longs...Despite the impressive run lately, the looming risk of negative Brexit....Euro longs edged back from record extremes but overall moves were small.
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Intraday Market Thought: Calm Returns, Where to Watch
by Adam Button | Feb 13, 2018 13:26
Just as bloogers and analysts began writing about Monday's sharp market....One relationship that's increasingly taking hold is the inverse relation....Interestingly, USD remained weak despite the overnight sell-off in Tokyo and....JPY, EUR and CHF are the strongest, while GBP backs off its highs following....120 pip gain was locked in the EURUSD trade...إلى أين الارتداد؟ (فيديو للمشتركين)....One clue on whether Monday's bounce will last was in the announcement of a....It surely faces a tough test in Congress but it highlights the administrations....It came along with fresh White House projections which are undoubtedly....With the potential for more stimulus in the pipeline and continued high military....US 10-year yields ticked another basis point higher Monday to 2...86% and as high as 2...89%....There is a sudden focus on borrowing levels and it seems almost inevitably....A pair of big drivers towards or away from that level is likely on Wednesday..
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Intraday Market Thought: Into ECB & NAFTA
by Adam Button | Mar 8, 2018 12:40Markets stabilise on reports that Trump will expempt NAFTA countries from....As we move to the ECB press conference, all currencies are down against the USD....Draghi's press conference will focus on the ECB's latest revisions for....EURUSD pushed higher after the ECB rates announcement removed the reference to....The focus was squarely on the Canadian dollar on Wednesday and it delivered a....The loonie slumped after the Bank of Canada highlighted trade worries and....A s a result USD/CAD climbed to 1...3000 from 1...2910...But some of those worries may be quickly calmed if reports that Trump will....The market reacted by erasing the move in USD/CAD and sending it back to 1...2900...The possibility of a waiver was something we warned about yesterday...The that shift also helped stock markets recover into a flat close...In the bigger picture, the landscape remains deeply unsettled...Relief for Canada and Mexico might be coming but that leaves the rest of the....Cohn's exit may also highlight that tariffs and are part of a broader White....Another troubling development was an increase in the US trade deficit in....6B compared to $55...0B expected, including a record in the deficit excluding petroleum...The sharp deterioration in the past four months suggests the tax cut funds are....In turn, that will make Trump more likely to take dramatic actions on trade. -
Intraday Market Thought: USD Grinds Lower Pre CPI
by Adam Button | Mar 12, 2018 22:02
The ebb in the US dollar continued Monday as the fallout from non-farm....CHF was Tuesday's top performer, while CAD...Australian home loans data highlights the Asia-Pacific session...فيديو للمشتركين حول ال 11صفقة...The absence of economic data for North American traders kept the focus on....Finance Minister Aso is embroiled in a real estate scandal and that's....Aso is considering not attending this month's G20 meeting...Meanwhile, the ebb and flow of Brexit news gave the pound a lift and cable is....Politics were largely a non-factor and US stock markets were flat...Trump is reportedly interviewing Larry Kudlow to lead his economic team...He is an unabashed free trader and is strongly anti-tariff so that would be a....Looking ahead, January Australian home loans data is due at 0030 GMT and....2% after a 2...3% drop in December...AUD has been a strong performer since Friday and is trading at a two-week high...The rebound comes after a miserable February but the RBA is slowly growing....The flipside is that commodities are beginning to struggle...Iron ore has fallen in seven consecutive sessions as uncertainty on steel mounts.
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Intraday Market Thought: Selling in May the Italian Way
by Adam Button | May 29, 2018 11:46
Global markets selloff across the board as Italy's political uncertainty....Italian 2-year yields hit a 6-year highs as bond prices tumbled, EURUSD broke....16 to a fresh 10 month lows, while the yen soared against all currencies,....40...Initially, markets cheered when Italy's President rejected euroskeptic....After climbing to 1...1730 the euro sank to a fresh six-month low of 1...1604, stopping out the Premium EURUSD trade...A new JPY trade will be issued shortly...The market selloffs were amplified by thinned activity during the holidays in....Former IMF economist Carlo Cottarelli has been asked by Italy's president....Five-Star Leader Di Maio has called for protests on June 2 and new elections as....nbsp; Both parties will frame a new vote as upstarts versus the establishment....At best, the outcome is uncertain and the threat of protests and unrests....Markets tend to bottom when the light at the end of the tunnel is in sight but....Another move in thin trading Monday was a rise in USD/CAD above 1...3000 for the first time in two months...Oil prices were down another 2% and that was the main driver but the market is..
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Intraday Market Thought: AUD/USD Perky Ahead of RBA
by Adam Button | Jun 4, 2018 22:42
The Australian dollar broke out to a five-week high and was the was the top....The yen lagged as risk appetite generally improved...The RBA decision is up next...The Premium long in AUDUSD issued 2 weeks ago is currently 130 pips in the....On Monday, 2 new trades were issued...إستغلال الإستقرار (فيديو للمشتركين)....AUD/USD climbed higher after rising above the May high of 0...7605 as the US dollar lost ground...An upbeat tone in equity markets helped AUD and other commodity currencies as....USD was slumping early Monday but a small bid appeared in early New York....The lone US data point was a 0...8% dip in April factory orders compared to -0...5% expected, led by a dip in transportation orders...It follows a 1...6% rise in March...Core capital goods orders weren't revised from the preliminary +0...9% reading...Cable reversed early gains to finish lower at 1...3315...Theresa May relayed the details of a phone call with Trump where she....Previously, she had positioned herself as more of a Trump ally but it's....Up next is the RBA decision at 0430 GMT...The market isn't pricing in any chance of a hike or a cut and looking....50% is forecast, with a 50% chance of a single rate rise by this time next year...The Aussie suddenly has a hint of wind at its back...If Lowe can stoke some optimism about growth, then it's blue skies above..
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Intraday Market Thought: No Doubts From Draghi
by Adam Button | Sep 25, 2018 13:33The euro is the top performer of the day after Draghi's comments yesterday&....Attempts from ECB's Praet to cool off the gains worked temporarily...The pound is also performing strongly today, while the franc is the only loser....After the ECB decision, reports leaked out that some members of the governing....In comments in Brussels Monday he said they see a vigorous pickup in underlying....The comments immediately sent the euro to the highest since June at 1...1815...Yet, news from Draghi's native Italy helped to pull the euro back lower as....95% on fears of a larger Italian budget deficit that could destabilize the....The government has until Thursday to unveil a budget package and whether or....The numbers could be announced at any time and leaks/details could also move....In the bigger picture, the US dollar rebounded Monday and oil rallied 2%....Economic data and news in North American trading remain light...Wednesday's FOMC rate hike, dot plot and press conference will be the.. -
Intraday Market Thought: During a Losing Trade
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 1, 2019 15:09
Here's an example of how proper inter-metal technical analysis can....On Oct 16, we issued a LONG trade in silver for the Premium subscribers at 14...80 with the rationale that the impending inverted H&S formation was about to....Well, it did not break it right away...Instead, silver continued to drop, extending towards the head (lows) of 13...96 over the ensuing 4 weeks...The stop remained at 13...80...So how did we manage the positon and thinking? (here's the snapshot of....On Nov 9th (as the trade was deteriorating), I issued a trade update....Please see the text under the charts and feel free to look at your own charts....Gold remained above the trendline support from the Nov 14 lows and....Some may say copper went on to break below the right shoulder later in early....Yes, but by the time that occurred, silver was well off its low and gold....The message was crucial...Silver, being the smaller and relatively less liquid market was vulnerable to....A similar approach was applied to USDX vs EURUSD vs USDCNY...I long said in summer and autumn during the days of USD strength that only a....0 in USD/CNH would indicate the next leg-up in USD momentum and not EURUSD 1...11, USDJPY 115 or GBPUSD 1...26...nbsp; Sometimes, it is invaluable to know where to look without moving the..
