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Results: 731 to 740 of 1,000
Results: 731 to 740 of 1,000
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Intraday Market Thought: Canada Election Playbook & Brexit's Latest
by Adam Button | Oct 21, 2019 12:12
Canadian voters head to the polls on Monday with USD/CAD trading near an 11-....We scope out how to trade it, especially as CAD is the strongest currency since....GBP is trading at 1...2980s after printing 1...3012 earlier this morning ahead of a meaningful vote request at 15:30 London....Even if the request is voted down, there is optimism that PM Johnson's deal....MPs delivered a setback to Johnson on Saturday after voting to defer approval....But traders remain confident that his withdrawal agreement will pass by a....CFTC positioning data continues to show a massive pound short; and it's....USD/CAD fell to the lowest since July on Friday as it broke the September low of....3134 and the July trendline support...Is that a sign? Perhaps--But it's probably a reflection of broad USD....If anything, the loonie has been suppressed in the run-up to the election...It has trailed AUD and NZD by about 1% since the start of the month, although....The election playbook is generally similar to all elections in stable....Fear and worry take over ahead of all elections but once the smoke clears,....In Canada, the stakes are low...Polls show Trudeau's governing Liberals and the opposition....The wider distribution of the Liberal vote, last-minute incumbency effects,....In the event of a surprise ---and/or Conservatives win a majority, that would....A Liberal majority may also be a modest CAD-positive because it lowers some of....Neither party is likely to win a majority, in which case uncertainty may....The main fear is that the Liberals would be forced to work with two or more....Those fears are overdone but could lead to a 1-2 cent fall in the loonie that....The question is: Considering the resulting uncertainty, the timing of CAD&....On election night, the trade is to buy CAD on a Conservative majority or any....Otherwise, wait for better levels or a wild overreaction...Results will begin to cross at about 0030 GMT but it probably won't be....CFTC Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR -75K vs -75K prior...GBP -73K vs -73K prior...JPY +7K vs +11K prior...CHF -13K vs -11K prior...CAD +13K vs +5K prior...AUD -48K vs -46K prior...NZD -40K vs -38K prior....The numbers only cover through the close last Tuesday but cable had already....If you're long, it means there is still potential for a significant..
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Intraday Market Thought: Britain’s Brexillent Adventure Begins
by Adam Button | Feb 22, 2016 0:16
The pound fell sharply in early trading after London's mayor announced he&....Cable is down nearly 150 pips in early trading with other pairs largely....The Nikkei Japan manufacturing PMI is due later...Among the 6 existing trades in the Premium Insights, there is one GBP trade....Sterling surged late on Friday when Cameron and EU leaders announced a deal...Those gains evaporated and GBP fell a cent more when markets re-opened...A big reason why was that Boris Johnson, the influential London mayor and....Another reason for pound weakness was that Cameron set a June 23 referendum....There was always a slim chance he would back away from a promised referendum....Setting a date also has a way of focusing the market on the pending....Finally, the public will now be fully engaged in the debate...The polls later this week (and subsequent weeks) will be critical for....The tendency in such events is for Exit supporters to get early momentum as the....Later, as the possibility of something new and unknown nears reality, the....But this will be no Scotland Referendum...Cameron gave an early hint of how he will campaign for keeping Britain in the....He will stick to the tried and true tactic of warning that leaving the EU....That's proven to be a formidable technique...Cameron himself used similar messages and scared the Scottish in their....Have we mentioned Scotland is highly likely to exit the UK if the latter....In the near-term, expect a market that is hyper-sensitive to headlines...Technially, the low so far today is $1...4235, which matches last week's low...A break would open the way towards the recent cycle low of $1...4080...Aside from the UK, Japanese stock markets opened modestly lower and there....Yen traders will look to the Nikkei preliminary manufacturing PMI for Feb at....The consensus estimate is a reading of 52...0 from 52...3 previously.
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Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf's Webinar Tonight
by Ashraf Laidi | May 1, 2014 16:43Ashraf's Webinar with Fari Hamzei And George Cavaligos starts at 16:00 ET,....Ashraf will go through the existing and past Premium trade calls EURUSD, USDJPY,....Registration.. -
Intraday Market Thought: Next week's flash crash?
by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 12, 2014 17:53Wednesday's Fed decision, Yellen's conference and Thursday's historic....Here is why we think so. -
Premium: Trading GBP & Carney
by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 10, 2014 18:34We open 2 new shorts & 3 charts in GBPCAD ahead of this week's BoE....Full charts & trades found here. -
Intraday Market Thought: Oil plummets on OPEC status quo
by Ashraf Laidi | Nov 27, 2014 18:03Following OPEC's decision to leave supply unchanged in the midst of a sharp....Full charts & analysis here. -
Intraday Market Thought: Recording of last night's webinar
by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 5, 2014 11:55Here is the link to the recording of last night's Post-ECB, Pre-ECB....Click on the link and scroll down for Market Timing webinar #36...Ashraf's part starts 1 hour into the webinar...nbsp; http://www...hamzeianalytics...com/Educational_Webinars..... -
Intraday Market Thought: SNB miscalculates by dropping currency ceiling
by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 15, 2015 15:17
The Swiss National Bank's decision to abandon its 4-year old FX peg is a....It is also a gross miscalculation...Read more here.
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Intraday Market Thought: USD looking for month-end boost
by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 26, 2015 19:30
USD bulls found more support in today's US inflation and durables data than....More charts & analysis on Canada CPI & UK GDP found here.
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Intraday Market Thought: Charting ISM lows vs QE absence
by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 2, 2015 16:46
In assessing whether the current lows in the components of the manufacturing ISM....Full charts & analysis.
