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  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf on CNBC

    by Ashraf Laidi | Dec 6, 2016 10:16
    Here is part of Ashraf's interview on CNBC about the euro & the ECB...nbsp; Watch.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Into the Ebb and Flow

    by Adam Button | Dec 20, 2016 23:32
    Into the Ebb and Flow Chart The US dollar slacked off on Tuesday after touching the best levels since....The Canadian dollar was the top performer on the day while the Japanese....Australian vacancies and Japanese industry data are due later...The latest Premium Video focuses on what went wrong with EURUSD and Gold, and....The US dollar index is generally a poor representation of the broad US dollar....On Tuesday it touched a resh 14-year high...Later, the dollar edged back 30 pip across the board...That's a drop in the bucket compared to the recent moves but it underscores....Economic data was limited to Canadian wholesale sales for October...They rose 1...1% compared to 0...5% and – along with a small rise in oil prices – that helped to....The rule of thumb for quiet periods is that the market tends to drift in the....In general, that means US dollar strength, higher stock markets and....But that's interspersed by periods of headline risk and flows...Considering the time of year, the overall ranges in FX were impressive on....Expect that to narrow in the days ahead...Minor economic indicators can also cause outsized moves...On the calendar in the hours ahead is the Australian November skilled....The prior reading was -0...4% m/m...Other data includes the October Japanese all-industry activity index...The consensus is for a 0...1% m/m rise.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Earlier on CNBC Today

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 3, 2017 10:07
    Here is a clip from Ashraf's interview on CNBC earlier today...CAD and AUD were also discussed, ideas covered in the prior IMT...nbsp; Interview.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf on BNN Earlier Today

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 9, 2017 16:44
    Ashraf on BNN Earlier Today Chart Ashraf's appearance on BNN discussing the latest GBP selloff, USD....Watch.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Will Gold Reverse again?

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jan 10, 2017 15:30
    Will Gold Reverse again? Chart Gold bulls may be exhaling again, while gold bears are silent...Gold and silver enter their 3rd consecutive weekly gain, the longest....Some say the metals rally is part of a much needed corrective pullback in USD....Gold and silver bulls are encouraged by the broad improvement in inflation....But take a look at gold miners, with HUI index entering its 4th weekly gain,....The last time HUI's 55-200 golden cross took place, HUI rallied 51% (from....Will metals survive another fresh run-up in bond yields as Fed speakers respond..

  • Intraday Market Thought: The Rules are Changing

    by Adam Button | Jan 22, 2017 22:38
    The Rules are Changing Chart The temptation in a time of change is to hang on to the old rules and beliefs...A few days into the Trump era, it's abundantly clear that the rules of....A new GBP Premium trade has been posted and issued, involving a quadruple....There is no pivot...Trump isn't going to act differently as President than he did during the....In his first two days of office, his spokesman made the bizarre claim that....Many world leaders have tried to re-write the rulebook and some have....In some ways Trump is sure to change the conversation and he is definitely not....Aside from the obvious consequences, like volatility, we have to keep an open....The temptation is to focus only on legislation but his communication and....International markets will never sideline Trump or punish America like....America plays by a different set of rules and it's increasingly clear....Taking a closer look at markets, the pound was the top performer last week....Theresa May will meet with Trump on Friday in what will be a week dominated....Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR -67K vs -66K prior...JPY -78K vs -80K prior...GBP -66K vs -66K prior...CHF -14K vs -14K prior...AUD -5K vs -2K prior...CAD -5K vs -8K prior...NZD -12K vs -14K prior....The weekly moves in positioning were minimal as the market takes a cautious....Expect rising volatility to spark larger moves in the coming weeks.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Too much Complacency?

    by Adam Button | Feb 27, 2017 8:18
    Too much Complacency? Chart The last-minute rally in stocks on Friday led to an 11th consecutive record....The pound is lower to start the week on talk of a fresh Scottish referendum...We look at the rising optimism on AUD and CAD in the CFTC positioning report...The chart below indicates the highest and weakest performers against the USD....Dual narratives of populist optimism and political uncertainty are sending dual....US yields are threatening to fall to the lowest since November while stocks run....The enormous last-second bid in US equities Friday put the Dow on the....Measures of stock market sentiment, volatility and insider selling are....The optimism is largely surrounding hope Trump will deliver on tax reform and....Given the global uncertainty and lack of anything concrete from the....In the UK, The Times of London reports that Theresa May is preparing Scotland....That's a cold, calculated move on independence just as the UK gets set to....The pound fell 50 pips at the open and is testing support in the 1...2400/1...2383 zone...Another vote would hang over the pound like a guillotine but in the day ahead....A thrust of selling at the London open would test some recent support levels..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Stocks on Fire, BOC Holds, Brainard Next

    by Adam Button | Mar 1, 2017 22:40
    Stocks on Fire, BOC Holds, Brainard Next Chart A hawkish Fed and soaring stocks are destined for a showdown but it wasn'....The Bank of Canada held rates as expected in a truncated statement...The Fed's Brainard is up next...The 3rd USD pair Premium trade has been filled and in progress...The video for Premium subscribers is found below "Time to Exit?"....A March 15 Fed is priced above 80% as Trump's talk on tax cuts and....The S&P 500 rose 32 points to a record 2395...The next test is a speech from Brainard at Harvard at 2300 GMT...It was scheduled late and if she makes a hawkish comment then a March hike will....Brainard is the most dovish core Fed member and a hint from her about a hike....What the stock market and Fed may be ignoring are signs of a sluggish start....Construction spending was soft and spending was up 0...2% in the PCE report compared to +0...3% expected...The divergence between survey data and hard data remains unresolved...The US dollar was strong Wednesday but flattened late...The currency is still reluctant to chase Trump and buy into the rate....The statement held rates, remained neutral, didn't concede any good....USD/CAD rose to 1...3350 which is the highest since Jan 19...A break above the January high of 1...3388 would target last year's highs near 1...36...The Australian dollar remains locked in its recent range...Today's trading features January Aussie trade balance and building..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf on BNN about the Euro

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 5, 2017 22:57
    Ashraf on BNN about the Euro Chart Discussing euro's cross currents ahead of the French elections and the....Full interview.

  • Intraday Market Thought: Ashraf on BNN about Euro & Elections

    by Ashraf Laidi | May 5, 2017 14:21
    Ashraf on BNN about Euro & Elections Chart My BNN interview ahead of Sunday's French Elections, the euro &....Watch.
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