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  • Intraday Market Thought: My London Seminar on Feb 22

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 13, 2018 18:40
    My London Seminar on Feb 22 Chart Time for another seminar at GKFX's London HQs...nbsp; Delving into charts and fundamentals can give mixed signals, but....Find out my favourite trading ideas in currencies, metals, indices and ETFs...Thursday, 22nd of February at 7 pm...Book your seat now.
  • Intraday Market Thought: My Thursday Seminar in London

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 19, 2018 10:48
    My Thursday Seminar in London  Chart Don't forget my Thursday seminar at GKFX's London HQs...nbsp; Delving into charts and fundamentals can give mixed signals, but....Find out my favourite trading ideas in currencies, metals, indices and ETFs...Thursday, 22nd of February at 7 pm...Book your seat now.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Dead-Cat Dollar

    by Adam Button | Feb 19, 2018 23:29
    Dead-Cat Dollar Chart The US dollar continued its modest rebound on Monday with China and North....The Australian dollar was the top performer early in the week while the....CFTC positioning showed an ill-timed shift towards the dollar...A new Premium trade in a major index has been issued earlier, highlighting 5....The RBA minutes are due next, followed by the ZEW survey on Tuesday morning...The UK jobs report is on Wednesday and not Tuesday as reported earlier...انتهاز الارتداد المتردد (فيديو للمشتركين)....The US dollar found some life on Friday and that continued Monday but we will....USD/JPY clawed its way up to 106...70 after falling to 105...50 at the lows on Friday...The bounce so far is well-within the standard range...One level to watch is the Sept 2017 low of 107...29 as that former support level will now act as resistance...In economic news, the Eurogroup nominated Spanish economic minister De....Spain was due for an executive position and there were few candidates to choose....His motives are sure to be questioned during his 8-year term but for now he&....Looking ahead, the RBA meeting minutes are due at 0030 GMT...Details about recent forecasts will be welcome as Lowe shifts to a more-upbeat....A bigger market mover will come at 100 GMT when the German ZEW sentiment survey....The consensus on the current situation is a dip to 94...0 from 95...2 last month...A strong reading could put the euro back on a path to a cycle high...CFTC Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR +128K vs +141K prior...GBP +15K vs +28K prior...JPY -115K vs -113K prior...CAD +33K vs +40K prior...CHF -20K vs -20K prior...AUD +9K vs +14K prior...NZD +2K vs +3K prior....The theme was US dollar buying in the latest changes but that turned out to be....Yen shorts continue to get beaten up, will they capitulate?..
  • Intraday Market Thought: My BNN Hit on Yields & Powell

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 22, 2018 16:44
    My BNN Hit on Yields & Powell Chart Explaining to BNN the importance of understanding yesterday's price....Full interview.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold Bulls want this from Powell

    by Ashraf Laidi | Feb 27, 2018 11:25
    Gold Bulls want this from Powell Chart Fed chair Powell's testimony to the House Financial Services Committee...begins at 10:00 Eastern (15:00 GMT/London) but the actual speech will be....Here is the (realistically) best scenario for gold from Powell...Full analysis.
  • Intraday Market Thought: DAX & Eurostoxx Trading Video

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 1, 2018 16:18
    DAX & Eurostoxx Trading Video Chart The Dax30 and Eurostoxx50 indices are fairly similar in terms of their....Here is why I issued a short DAX trade last week and what's next ahead with..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Trump's Latest Gift for USD Bears

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 2, 2018 17:14
    Trump's Latest Gift for USD Bears Chart As the charts indicate, currency traders may no longer support the USD despite....Here is what we should expect next...Full analysis.
  • Intraday Market Thought: Political Peril as Markets Open

    by Adam Button | Mar 5, 2018 11:17
    Political Peril as Markets Open Chart Italian political surged after a Hung parliament ensured following the victory....CFTC positioning data showed the crowded yen-short trade lightening up...After closing the DAX short late last week for 430-pt gain, there are 9....7 in the green, 1 flat and 1 in the red...German SPD members approved a grand coalition with Merkel on Sunday and that....Italy's Euroskeptic Five Star Movement and anti-migrant Leage won the....That's given the euro a bump early on but it will be hours before the....Headline risks in the days ahead will be high as party leaders attempt to form a....The bigger risk for markets is worsening trade rhetoric...US stocks rebounded late Friday in part due to hopes that Trump would add....A number of comments from high-ranking US officials on the weekend made that....In addition, Trump threatened to ban European car imports...Over the past year, betting against risk assets because of turmoil in the White....The President has often appeared to be unhinged only to plod forward with more-....Is this time different? Perhaps, Trump has been a trade protectionist for more....Hints on what's coming next may come from personnel changes...Gary Cohn reportedly tried to convince Trump to back down on tariffs, and may....If so, markets will see it as a definitive turn in his administration...CFTC Commitments of Traders....Speculative net futures trader positions as of the close on Tuesday...Net short denoted by - long by....EUR +138K vs +126K prior...GBP +13K vs +8K prior...JPY -97K vs -108K prior...CAD +22K vs +23K prior...CHF -16K vs -19K prior...AUD +10K vs +12K prior...NZD +1K vs -1K prior....The overstretched yen shorts we've been warning about for weeks have..
  • Intraday Market Thought: Trade Risks Crystalize

    by Adam Button | Mar 5, 2018 22:24
    Trade Risks Crystalize Chart White House comments to start the week tied tariffs to NAFTA and were seen as a....The pound was the top performer while the Canadian dollar lagged...The RBA decision is up next...The English Premium video is below....يمكن مشاهدة فيديو المشتركين أدناه...ما يأتي بعد جني الأرباح؟....Global stock markets bounced and the yen slipped on Monday as rhetoric shifted....What looked like a hasty decision to put on global tariffs may have been part of....Trump and US NAFTA negotiator Lighthizer both said Canada and Mexico would win....It's entirely unclear what kind of agreement Trump wants or if US NAFTA....One pocket of weakness was the Canadian dollar as mounting risks pushed USD/CAD....2920 level to the highest since June...That fear ties into Wednesday's BOC decision and a growing likelihood of a....Yet, it remains unclear if Trump has a bigger plan for tariffs outside of NAFTA...Many leaders want to see the text of what Trump is proposing before taking a....Looking ahead, it's a big day for AUD traders with current account and....Retail sales are forecast to rise 0...4% after a 0...5% decline in December...It's been volatile time for the numbers but consumer confidence has been....Trade, meanwhile is expected to show next exports pulling GDP 0...6 pp lower and the current accounts in a deficit of A$12...2B...Whatever the numbers, the market will be reluctant to make a move before the RBA....Lowe has been more optimistic lately and expects GDP to accelerate to 3...25% y/y by the end of 2018 but recent wage numbers have been soft.
  • Intraday Market Thought: NFP no Fed/USD Game-Changer

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 9, 2018 16:47
    NFP no Fed/USD Game-Changer Chart Today's US NFP/Earnings data are a fresh confirmation of the status quo (3....With 1...5% inflation and ascending bond yields looming large over an aggressive....Full analysis.