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  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold Elliott Wave Count

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 23, 2026 19:40
    Gold Elliott Wave Count Chart Has gold bottomed at its Elliott Wave count of Wave 4? 4090-4100 also....Here's a brief a video combining EW count, retracements and scaled drawdowns...Watch here...nbsp; ....لا تفوتو ندوة مساء اليوم عن ظاهرات يوم الجمعة..

  • Intraday Market Thought: 3 Numbers of Oil & JPY

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 17, 2026 13:37
    3 Numbers of Oil & JPY Chart You thought that quiz i posted last Friday in Cordoba had nothing to do with....Think again...3 of the 4 numbers are related to oil, rather to to a certain date to be more....Out of the several trades I shared with the WhatsApp Group, the one that remains....70s...Watch the brief video til the end to understand the meaning and possible....Watch here...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Hedging your Margined Account

    by Ashraf Laidi | Apr 21, 2026 15:35
    If you are worried about any negative reaction to indices and gold from the....One way I'm doing it is via the following: Short US100/Nasdaq, Short....If negotiations fail, the rise in USDJPY will be offset by the decline in....But these pullbacks are likely to be brief...If on the other hand, Trump announces an extension in the deadline i...e...a positive development, then the rise in gold and indices will hurt your....This scenario's profitability, will obviously depend on the extend and SIZE....More precise levels positioning is shared with members of the WhatsApp....Good luck and watch your SIZE..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Nasdaq Beware

    by Ashraf Laidi | Jul 17, 2026 11:46
    I just published the Daily Nasdaq chart on the cash or spot...It shows Thursday's close but NOT the current CFD or futures as of Friday....If no major change in the index between now and the NY cash open, then the cash....There is something considerably negative for the index if it closes the day....I will share the info with our English and Arabic WhatsApp Bdcst Group before....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: See my 1 hr Session Here

    by Ashraf Laidi | Aug 24, 2026 23:57
    See my 1 hr Session Here Chart Here is the full recording (Arabic & English) of my Live on Instagram....Watch now...nbsp;....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Gold Fears Japan Hike

    by Ashraf Laidi | Sep 17, 2026 12:15
    Will gold be hit by Friday's Bank of Japan rate hike? Gold dropped last week....Watch here...nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Yields Stabilize on more Inflation Signs

    by Adam Button | Apr 16, 2021 16:45
    Yields Stabilize on more Inflation Signs Chart The old adage about the market doing whatever hurts the most amount of people....Does Friday's stabilisation in yields and USDJPY signal the start of....7% (9-year high) from the survey's 1-year inflation outlook...The latter helped bond yields find some support above 1...54% before regaining the 1...58%....nbsp;USD ended the week lower across the board, while NZD and GBP retreated late....Below are 3 charts related to oil, each suggesting ongoing pressure, despite....Oil is considered the next shoe to "rise" in the US dollar's....nbsp; Tune in to next week's action as the pre-FOMC blackout period is....nbsp; ....Short bonds was a consensus and crowded trade in April after the Fed endorsed....In theory, a series of strong economic data points on Thursday should have....Retail sales rose 9...8%, initial jobless claims tumbled to 576K compared to 700K expected...Both the Philly and Empire manufacturing surveys were strong with Empire prices....All of that should have driven yields higher but that's not what happened...Perhaps the bond bears – seeing the failure of a catalyst to cause a....US 30-year yield fell 10 bps to 2...25%, touching the 50-day average for the first time this year...There was talk of position squaring, a rethink on inflation and Japanese buying....The rest of the market cheered falling yields...US equities surged to another record and commodities climbed with copper....The FX market was more skeptical with commodity currencies consolidating...The dollar generally held its ground...On net though, we're starting to see some breakouts in charts we've been....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: The Slow Disintegration of Team Transitory

    by Adam Button | Oct 12, 2021 14:32
    The Slow Disintegration of Team Transitory Chart Energy prices remain near their cycle highs after a brief Monday retreat,....FX continues to aggressively sell yen on the reflation trade...JOLTS and a 10-year US auction are due up next...Gold is holding up above 1764 as 10-year breakeven inflation is ticking higher,....nbsp;....Central bank comments are increasingly littered with caveats...On Monday, ECB chief economist Lane tried to lay out how wages could rise in....He called price rises 'mostly transitory' but warned they are in....In the US on Sunday, the Fed's Daly – an ardent dove – warned....Given that economies continue to reopen and there's a glut of US savings,....The FX and rates market is increasingly signaling that team transitory is losing...The latest axis is the yen, which is the traditional low yielder...The implication of strength in yen crosses is that rates divergence is....Given the big breakouts, including USD/JPY hitting a seven-year high on Monday,....It's been a slow transition for the Fed but the doves are now clearly on the....A release that's sure to spark more chatter is the August JOLTS report,....There is good reason to be skeptical of this report...Companies have taken to spamming job ads and using algorithms to screen resumes...It's the proliferation of an 'always hiring' policy that's....In any case, policymakers still believe in it and so does the market...The other event to watch will be the 10-year Treasury sale...The cash market is at 1...62% with little standing in the way of a return to the 2021 high of 1...78%..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Flattening Curve & Real Yields Hit USD

    by Adam Button | Oct 14, 2021 17:14
    Flattening Curve & Real Yields Hit USD Chart A broadening set of circumstances conspires on USD weakness--from rising....54% ad nominal 10s below 1...52%) to a flattening yield curve...Weaker than expected PPI and Wednesday's CPI-FOMC minutes interaction also....USD initially rose on signs of wage pressure in the CPI report but relented....Wednesday's rise in 2-year yields and pullback in 10-year yields triggered....The Premium long in DAX hit its final 15450 target for 300-pt gain and the....Below are the long calls in GBPJPY and XAUUSD based on the inverted H&S in....US PPI rose 0...5% in September, posting the smallest increase of the year...US CPI was slightly firmer than expected at5...4% y/y compared to the 5...3% consensus but it was the real weekly earnings component that drew attention....8% m/m compared to 0...2% previously...Initially, that led to a 20-30 pip rise in the US dollar but as the day wore on....That extends a trend of choppiness this week...Part of the reason for the decline was a surprisingly low yield in a sale of US....3 bps below what the market was expecting...With that, US 30s have fallen 13 basis points from Friday's high...It's no surprise that's dragged down the US dollar, at least in the....The Fed minutes didn't inspire much in terms of price action, but did....Both scenarios would take result in and end to the process in the middle of 2022,....nbsp;..

  • Intraday Market Thought: Broken Supply Chain Part 3 & Clashing Narratives

    by Ashraf Laidi | Mar 11, 2022 17:55
    Broken Supply Chain Part 3 & Clashing Narratives Chart This month's Fed meeting was supposed to be the highlight of the....The new record high of $10845 in copper was followed by almost a new high in....The bullish equities narrative stating Russia/Ukraine's willingness to....nbsp;....Covid's damaging impact on the global supply-chain was in fact Broken-....Blocking's the world of Russia's oil, gas, wheat and industrial metals....In oil, news of further obstacles to an Iran nuclear deal has revivded US Crude....nbsp; Each passing day shows Putin digging deeper into the Ukraine with....nbsp;....There are 2 ways to break oil: 1) demand destruction due to recession; or 2)....nbsp; The 1st option is a far likelier possibility than the 2nd option, albeit....nbsp;....As for gold, it needs some sort of a break...Whether such pause extends ahead of next week's FOMC decision or after, we&....One factor remaining favourable for gold is that breakeven inflation levels is....nbsp;....3 weeks ago I laid out the case for $2200 gold to our WhatsApp Broadcast....It seems that Q2 is a more probable timing for now, before I update the next....nbsp;   ..
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