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Posts by "carlco"

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193 Posts Total by "carlco":
150 Posts by member
Carlco
(bristol, United Kingdom)
43 Posts by Anonymous "carlco":
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Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 17:51
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
cougr,july15th. i don't like the way the stochastic has bottomed and crossed, if data isn't so bad we could have a rally in stocks 14th (a spike like the 167 gbpusd ) before heading down, speculator, i believe oil price/risk aversion has been more than covered, lower oil prices is good for global recovery.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 15:17
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
16164 on the 15th is a key breach or resistance of the downward trendline from the 167 spike. 158 retest looks on the cards, any thoughts ?
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 13, 2009 15:05
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
if you draw a trend line on gbpusd from march lows to april, the X is now coming back to the trend line and a key level 16026 due to interesct on monday 27th.
I would love some bad results, to get this market moving! I feel like we've hit the doldrums today, or eye of the storm perhaps?
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jul 10, 2009 18:52
In Thread: CADJPY's Next Target
speculator, 'irrational speculators' have nothing to do with deflationary pressures.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 10, 2009 14:43
In Thread: CADJPY's Next Target
ie deflation fears meaning you 'dont' want to be holding commodities. deflation fears are from even lower demand, if the fed has stopped QE that was temporarily skewing the inflation, is this a good time to be shorting EVERYTHING!
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jul 10, 2009 14:39
In Thread: CADJPY's Next Target
i read that DEFLATION may well threaten USA for the rest of the year, is this what you've been seeing in the CADJPY correction? Gold also retreating , so AUDJPY AUDUSD CADJPY shorts now?
Do you follow grains and natural gas ?
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jul 9, 2009 22:41
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
i notice on S&P a mini trend line from 1st-7th intersecting @ 887 today it jumped tested the MA100 then straight back down onto the trend line again. It smells like risk aversion day tomorrow for the weekend.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 9, 2009 17:39
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
Ashraf please warn people we are just coming into results season, the markets are undecided in direction so any positive or negative 'perceived' data is going to amplify movements, i don't want to see anyone whipsawed over the next week.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 9, 2009 17:33
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
and of course no sooner than i write this we are eyeing 164!
Carlco
UK
Posted Anonymously
15 years ago
Jul 9, 2009 17:18
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
Ashraf, hindsight is a wonderful thing , that CADJPY trade you identified a few weeks back really did pay off, if not called a bit early.
GBPUSD rally now over, but will this establish a new trading range 162-158 ? the 162 was a good support now it looks like turning into resistance.
Q. oil 'falling' with USD 'strength' is this the alarm bell that all is not right in the world ?
its still suprising how tentative equities are around 877 that the pullback might not be that bad though, Bernanke & BoE have backed off on their intervention,
Q. do you think 'they are saving up their ammo' ? ready for a squirt later in the year if needed?
IF this is true and 877 is the magic number if we draw a new trend line in from march lows to 877 'now' that is a long slow trudge to June tops. opinions as always appreciated (yes including you speculator)
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