Forum

Posts by "carlco"

View Member Profile
193 Posts Total by "carlco":
150 Posts by member
Carlco
(bristol, United Kingdom)
43 Posts by Anonymous "carlco":
123456789101112131415
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 17, 2009 18:47
In Thread: Falling Equities Still Key for Dollar
That's a fascinating link ive recently started learning about dark pools, it's getting way too dirty out there!
ive been doing some more number crunching the pe ratio's are just too high for what these companies can deliver , the S&P looks to be forming a doji for the weekend to.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 17, 2009 17:57
In Thread: Gauging the Bounce in Appetite
we're probably going to need more than Ashraf's hand to get this S&P to 1000
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 17, 2009 17:50
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
speculator-the S&P and cable this last 2 months have the whole world guessing, ill play this day by day hour by hour, minute by minute, the question i would ask is have we moved sideways far enough to touch back to less steep trend line. i did notice that the MA100 passed through the MA200 the other week and passed through MA252 2 days ago, but the big 1200 is just about to pop out the MA200. That would put the S&P above the MA for a long while, not too sure whether that would have a near term effect of dragging us back down.
I don't know with such volatile movements in the last 12 months how chronically the indicators have been skewed, i think we need a retest and what's more important 'EVERYBODY' wants a retest! what i did notice is the shine came off the GBPUSD today even though the S&P, DOW haven't really moved much, is that a small sign that things are just about to pop??? or is it just profit taking which again wouldn't indicate much confidence in a rally either. just my thoughts.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 17, 2009 17:24
In Thread: Falling Equities Still Key for Dollar
hey Ashraf, i take it im the 'some' and your being polite! i agree 950 is psychological but the reason i said 1000 is that there really arent any technical or psychological levels to act as a barrier, 'BUT' looking at the p/e forecast from S&P themselves and bashing on the calculator for an hour (im very slow) i couldn't really make a 1000 scenario fit much above a p/e ratio of 20! that is stretching things even if this is a V shaped recovery, i have to say we are going to have to see some real miracles from Euroland , australasia, which aren't there, i do believe we are in recovery, but the equity is all spent, so it doesn't really matter how cheap Japan or China makes their exports to us.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 16, 2009 18:07
In Thread: Falling Equities Still Key for Dollar
it is quite amusing how the whole internet is tlking about key resistance levels, but no one dare commit to anything just yet.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 15, 2009 17:10
In Thread: How low will GBPUSD go in May?
a hammer on monday that touched the trend line on GBPUSD and now we are above 164, but looking at it 165 seems a mile away at the current momentum, it could grind it out i suppose. VIX says volatility ahead and USDX signals short , this has to be close to a top right? its just everytime you think its over the trend line is touched and a rally ensues.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 15, 2009 16:39
In Thread: Dollar Stability Choppy & Temporary
Chimerica debate very enjoyable http://www.newmediamanager2.net/node/269
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 15, 2009 16:32
In Thread: From GreenShoots to Head&Shoulders
gunjack you want to play a 12pip upside ? on a right shoulder? good luck. I was just about to ask the opposite that with ftse dow both gaining we only see a small gain in S&P. With results not offering anything more than we really deep down expected and nearing the top of our ranges, i am looking to a retreat, USD strength, dip in oil again. But it's more a coin flip, but not much more GBPUSD 16437 as i write this.
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 14, 2009 22:33
In Thread: NZDUSD Eyes Sub-0.63
Ahraf, i see when i wrote that it was looking like a market rally, interesting that the market wasn't impressed with Goldmans big results, in fact it seemed to add to the 'more regulation' argument.
The S&P analogy needs the Grim Reeper to come visiting , finally VIX maybe starting to twitch http://sentimentrader.blogspot.com/2009/07/vix-predicting-futureand-its-cloudy.html
Carlco
bristol, UK
Posts: 151
15 years ago
Jul 14, 2009 19:41
In Thread: NZDUSD Eyes Sub-0.63
of course you answer this in the tweet, we have our eyes peeled for the fabled S&P head & shoulders to finally complete!
Report Reply
123456789101112131415