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1237 Posts Total by "gunjack":
1178 Posts by member
Gunjack
(London, United Kingdom)
59 Posts by Anonymous "gunjack":
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Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 18:51
In Thread: NZD's Overshoot vs GBP?
Hi Ashraf - Im not too familiar with this pair...so just want to clarify your advocating a short NZDGBP trade on falling risk appetite? Would that not boost GBP? Or is NZD a pure risk ccy

Thanks
Gunjack
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 15:09
In Thread: VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal
WTI breaches 200 day MA and promptly crashes back to low 74...what an easy short
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 15:08
In Thread: VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal
Qin the american consumer are going crazy with their credit cards and unemlpoyment checks...this market seems to be on some kind of crack...just ignores all bad news ( massive budget deficit etc unemplyment to hit 10%)
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 14:57
In Thread: VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal
market rumour US consumer confidence coming in a fair bit higher than expected....time to start selling USD
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 25, 2009 14:14
In Thread: VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal
massaged case shiller data out again...
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 24, 2009 16:00
In Thread: VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal
Spec im hoping for further GBP weakness got 1.62 strike puts in my p/folio...The current GBP strength has no fundamental basis ( a bit like the current equity rally)

re: Oil - I have been playing it intra-day for the last few weeks, and thing I have noticed is the lack of momentum or vol...The 200 day MA mentioned by Ashraf is acting like an electric fence...everytime the price breaches or heads near that level it jolts back down
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 24, 2009 15:45
In Thread: VIX, Oil, BRICS & Sterling's Sell-Appeal
Thnx Ashraf...I foolishly went long around 74.60...not my wisest decision!!!

What in your opinion do you think could cause a genuine break of the 200 day MA in VIX and Oil...could the raft of data coming out tmrw do the trick?

Gunjack
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 21, 2009 15:44
In Thread: Ashraf's Book: Currency Trading and Intermarket Analysis
Woe betide...Moe you aren't the only one feeling the pain of GBP strength...my cable puts are massively underwater...i am hoping ( maybe foolishly) for a USD recovery next week now...and GBP collapse
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 21, 2009 9:38
In Thread: Unsustainable Appetite in FX, Equities & Oil
Hi Ashraf - What are your views on a convergence trade b/ween USDCAD and USDNOK. BOC has stated that they will intervene to revent a strong CAD, plus they could be starting QE later on which would surely effect this pair. On the USDNOK side Norway seem to be coming out of recession quicker than others and Norges bank have maintained a anti inflation stance by having a higher i-rate than other natiosn/trading blocs...so to summarise long USDCAD v short USDNOK

Thanks
Gunjack
Gunjack
London, UK
Posts: 1184
15 years ago
Aug 20, 2009 17:07
In Thread: Unsustainable Appetite in FX, Equities & Oil
hamish...surely not!!! LOL...I-banks being crooks, what the world coming to...lol
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