Hi Ashraf. Thought-provoking comments as usual. My long-term bullishness on gold notwithstanding, based on today's Geithner comments on the $ and yesterday's proposal by Bank of China's governor Zhou Xiaochuan to establish a currency "independent" of all countries, what do you make of Gold's inability to follow-up on last week's rally even as the $ has remained not much below last week's peaks? According to trading savvy, it is not a good sign when something that should rally does not rise in value. I am hard pressed to see anything else as "independent" as gold (and hence a new currency order would essentially replicate the mechanics of the Bretton-Woods system with some sort of peg/parity). One may of course invoke the increased risk appetite but - for instance today - I have seen gold actually recover in sync with stronger equities, so I'm hard pressed to see the latter as the key driver. Of course, even a short-term correction needn't impair the long-term fundamental merits of gold. What are your thoughts, please ? 1000 thanks in advance. Luca
Hi Ashraf. Good points as usual. What I am still struggling to reconcile is - if the broad trend over the next few months is "more of the same" in terms of weak credit and equity markets and the current phase of renewed risk appetite is mostly a short-term trend, the JPY should sooner or later reassert itself and squeeze once again risky assets, commodities and gold included. At what point does gold decouple and start appreciating again vs. $ and EUR despite the strong JPY? I mean, is there a scenario where JPY AND Gold appreciate together over the next few months? Many thanks in advance. By all means, please let me know if you happen to be in the Continent.
Fascinating comments, Ashraf, your website is by far one of the most informative. If liquidation and financial meltdown - driven mostly by equity markets - are going to remain with us for quite a while, what would become the trigger for a rebound in precious metals and where would the ammunition be for institutional investors to drive it? I will definitely buy your book, keep the great job !!!
Try publishing this in the UK weekend papers: Traders bet BankofEngland will raise rates to 6.25% --highest since 1… https://t.co/GWXrTEAk4R(10 months ago)
Poor start to a slow market day as Ezone PMIs disappoint. Im still keeping an eye on the rare (-2%) USD-GOLD combo,… https://t.co/UyRzWsRbs7(10 months ago)
-5% YTD is not good, while -7% from the year highs can be tough. Gold traders have their eyes fixated on this for n… https://t.co/NV5UMKsfNo(10 months ago)
ما وراء هبوط الدولار مع الذهب و من منهما يتمكن الارتداد؟
موعدنا الآن في غرفة شركة إكس أم لجلسة الأسواق
https://t.co/Y7tD0RxCS2
@XM_COM (10 months ago)
Jobless claims > 300k before next FOMC meeting would be ideal for Fed to make up for any CPI upside surprise (10 months ago)
"Cook & Eat at Home" scheme may come next to defeat UK inflation... (10 months ago)
Earlier in the week gold selloff was attributed to smaller than exp China EASING. Metal is now holding v well despi… https://t.co/ZW9cmXTPWW(10 months ago)
How bitcoin halvingreduces bitcoin inflation below that of gold and how its "hardness" can beat every other asset & currency over time. Watch here.
كيف تنخفض نسبة التضخم في بيتكوين تحت نسبة تضخم الذهب و ما يعني "صلابة" بيتكوين كعملة او إرادة؟
Latest Hot-Chart - Apr 09
Bitcoin versus Miners Performance
As many of you know 2023 was kind to members of our WhatsApp Broadcast Group who snapped up shares in bitcoin miners, while 2024 has so far been more superior to Bitcoin than most of the miners...
View Hot-Chart..
Thought-provoking comments as usual. My long-term bullishness on gold notwithstanding, based on today's Geithner comments on the $ and yesterday's proposal by Bank of China's governor Zhou Xiaochuan to establish a currency "independent" of all countries, what do you make of Gold's inability to follow-up on last week's rally even as the $ has remained not much below last week's peaks? According to trading savvy, it is not a good sign when something that should rally does not rise in value. I am hard pressed to see anything else as "independent" as gold (and hence a new currency order would essentially replicate the mechanics of the Bretton-Woods system with some sort of peg/parity). One may of course invoke the increased risk appetite but - for instance today - I have seen gold actually recover in sync with stronger equities, so I'm hard pressed to see the latter as the key driver. Of course, even a short-term correction needn't impair the long-term fundamental merits of gold. What are your thoughts, please ? 1000 thanks in advance.
Luca