Forum

Posts by "montmorency"

678 Posts Total by "montmorency":
604 Posts by member
montmorency
(Abingdon, United Kingdom)
74 Posts by Anonymous "montmorency":
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 21:16
@Said: Yes, FWIW, I too quite like that little jump up to 1108 or so too before possible slide. (Not trading it as my resources are otherwise committed).
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 19:29
@Chloe: FOMC appears to be Wed 27th Jan @ 1915 (GMT I think) "FOMC Rate Decision".

I don't know if they wrap it up in clever words, or it's just a number release.

That was from another calendar. Just had a look at "ours" and it is:

"18:15 US Fed Interest Rate Decision" also tomorrow, Wed 27 Jan.

I don't know if it's strictly speaking the FOMC that announces the decision, or what, but then what do I know. To know that sort of thing I need a big salary with bonuses.... :-)


On the Forex Factory calendar we have (same day):
7:15pm USD FOMC Statement
7:15pm USD Federal Funds Rate

Also speech by Geithner at 3pm. Those last 3 times are GMT I think.

So, be on the alert from at least 3pm onwards! :-)

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 19:07
Support for the idea of a weak pound sterling from an article posted on the David Fuller Money site:
http://www.fullermoney.com/content/2010-01-25/PoundSeenasDiminishedNoMatterWhoWinsElection.pdf

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 15:01
@Celtic: EUR/USD coming to Earth as we speak ...!
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 13:32
To be fair to Tanvir, he doesn't seem to disagree with Ashraf's fundamentals, but that because of the nature of the FX market, fundamentals won't be obeyed. Perhaps a little like PippedOff's ongoing story about the "cartel".

FWIW, I've put my money where I think the fundamentals are for the time being.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 4:38
@Juke: Thanks.
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 3:57
Only just spotted the interest rate decision(s) (US and Japan) on the calendar. If the US rate remains unchanged, is this going to send the USD into a nosedive?

In fact I see USD/JPY has already nosedived, presumably relating to the Japan decision (not updated on our calendar yet, but should be out now), or it may be something else.

montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 2:31
Hi Baptist! :-)

Well, I could certainly see it getting above 1.64 or so.

The pre-election rally is a little harder to figure for the moment, but not impossible I suppose.
Interesting times (aren't they all).
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 2:15
@Pipped: -"We are currently in the front run stage. They will pump on release of the GDP report, release their own prewritten report from two weeks agao, and then dump immediately after."

So they will sell into a rising market, catching the smaller players buying following the "trend", then there will be no more buyers, and it will fall ... or something like that?

How high do you think it will go? (We could have a small side bet on this if you like :-) - my more serious worry is that it will spike to stupid levels before falling (IF it falls of course :-) ).
montmorency
Abingdon, UK
Posts: 610
14 years ago
Jan 26, 2010 0:55
So what are we saying here; that this is the pump before the dump?