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Posts by "muira"
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Posts by Anonymous "muira":
EURUSD 1.1851 |
USDJPY 111.52 |
GBPUSD 1.3772 |
AUDUSD 0.7485 |
USDCAD 1.2406 |
GBPJPY 153.59 |
EURJPY 132.15 |
AUDJPY 83.48 |
CADJPY 89.86 |
Silver 26.23 |
I did an Elliot Wave analysis on the EUR/USD and my conclusions were EURO has a lot of downward room to cover before any recovery. If you look at the monthly chart from the beginning of 2001-2008 we have a 5 wave up, the downward correction that has followed has so far done an A-B----
C is currently in progress.
Wave C normally ends relatively below where wave 4 ends for which this case is 1.1400 area. Another reason to believe this area is key is because the A-B done, B retraced up to 0.618 of wave A, so we should expect an AB=CD pattern.
But what could change this picture, considering a double bottom is looming in the EUR/USD, a bounce up and a retest of 1.45 area and a correction down to the current levels thus creating a triple bottom could significantly end the bear of EUR.
Whats your take?
My analysis was based on a daily wave count,weekly also gives a nice picture but i like daily for a few details. I believe it has finished correcting with 77 level as support and is in the early stages of the next 5 wave up. Of course with the weekly count the bigger picture is that its doing an A-B-C with B having retraced upto 61.8% of A which is a very key level and its either complete or doing its final touches.
Regards
I have been reading your articles and they are very helpful, they help me think outside the box. I have been studying Elliot wave which I'm sure your well aware of, and possibly what its saying about to the USD index and correct me if I am wrong is that the resent drop in the dollar is very short term. Its half way a zigzag pattern (5-3-5) and once its through with the A-B-C correction down up to somewhere around 76, we are going to see the final 5 wave up which should mature at the end of Q1 2009. Then from there we see the beginning of US dollar weaknesses like never before.
Regards
Muira